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Premiership

Referee: S McLean

Hearts

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Celtic

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Celtic

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 76%

88%

63%

Points per game

2,8

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

63%

38%

Both score Ø 32%

38%

25%

Average goals

3,1

2,0

Scored

2,4

1,4

Conceded

0,8

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%

12 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 9

1 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 1. · Celtic 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	8	7	1	0	+13	+0.8	22
2	Celtic	8	5	2	1	+6	+2.5	17
3	Dundee United	9	3	4	2	+3	-1.0	13
4	Falkirk	9	3	3	3	-3	-0.7	12
5	Hibernian	8	2	5	1	+4	+1.1	11
6	Motherwell	9	2	5	2	+1	+1.8	11
7	Kilmarnock	8	2	4	2	+0	-0.1	10
8	Rangers	8	1	6	1	-1	-0.9	9
9	St Mirren	9	2	3	4	-4	-1.5	9
10	Dundee	10	2	3	5	-6	-2.0	9
11	Aberdeen	8	2	1	5	-4	-0.6	7
12	Livingston	10	1	3	6	-9	+0.6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	4	3	1	0	+6	-0.1	10
2	Celtic	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
3	Dundee United	5	2	1	2	+1	-0.9	7
4	Dundee	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.8	7
5	Hibernian	4	1	3	0	+4	+0.3	6
6	Falkirk	5	1	3	1	+0	+0.1	6
7	Motherwell	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.0	5
8	St Mirren	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.2	5
9	Kilmarnock	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.2	5
10	Aberdeen	4	1	1	2	+1	-0.7	4
11	Livingston	4	1	0	3	-1	+0.8	3
12	Rangers	4	0	3	1	-2	+1.2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	4	4	0	0	+7	+0.9	12
2	Celtic	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.7	7
3	Dundee United	4	1	3	0	+2	-0.1	6
4	Rangers	4	1	3	0	+1	-2.0	6
5	Motherwell	5	1	3	1	+0	-0.2	6
6	Falkirk	4	2	0	2	-3	-0.8	6
7	Kilmarnock	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.3	5
8	Hibernian	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.8	5
9	St Mirren	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.8	4
10	Aberdeen	4	1	0	3	-5	+0.1	3
11	Livingston	6	0	3	3	-8	-0.2	3
12	Dundee	5	0	2	3	-6	-1.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.