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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
Feyenoord
U U S S U
0–3
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 10. · AZ Alkmaar 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 7 5 2 0 +19 17
2 PSV Eindhoven 7 5 2 0 +13 17
3 Vitesse 7 4 2 1 +3 14
4 AZ Alkmaar 6 4 1 1 +10 13
5 Twente 7 3 3 1 +4 12
6 Willem II 7 4 0 3 -1 12
7 Utrecht 7 3 2 2 +3 11
8 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Heracles 7 3 2 2 -1 11
10 Feyenoord 6 2 4 0 +2 10
11 VVV Venlo 7 3 0 4 -4 9
12 Heerenveen 7 1 4 2 -1 7
13 Zwolle 7 2 1 4 -3 7
14 Groningen 7 2 1 4 -3 7
15 Den Haag 7 2 0 5 -3 6
16 FC Emmen 7 1 1 5 -9 4
17 For Sittard 7 0 2 5 -13 2
18 Waalwijk 7 0 1 6 -17 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord AZ Alkmaar
27′
🟨 Owen Wijndal
Luis Sinisterra 🟨
37′
39′
M. Boadu 0–1
O. Wijndal
Steven Berghuis 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–2
50′
C. Stengs 0–2
Y. Sugawara
S. Larsson 🔁
↦ O. Kökçü
62′
W. Burger 🔁
↦ R. Tapia
68′
79′
🔁 J. Clasie
↦ F. Midtsjø
N. Bannis 🔁
↦ L. Sinisterra
80′
80′
🔁 D. de Wit
↦ M. Boadu
83′
O. Idrissi 0–3
88′
🔁 F. Druijf
↦ C. Stengs
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 K. Vermeer G
33 Eric Botteghin D
32 Edgar Ié D
5 R. Haps D
38 L. Geertruida D
28 J. Toornstra M
20 R. Tapia M
23 O. Kökçü M
7 L. Narsingh F
10 S. Berghuis F
17 L. Sinisterra F
Bench (11)
11 S. Larsson
35 W. Burger
24 N. Bannis
37 A. El Bouchataoui
25 M. Azarkan
15 T. Malacia
22 J. Bijlow
8 L. Kelly
14 G. Johnston
4 M. Senesi
31 Elber Evora

Coach: J. Stam

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
4 R. Vlaar D
30 S. Wuytens D
2 J. Svensson D
15 O. Wijndal D
26 Y. Sugawara F
6 F. Midtsjø M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
11 O. Idrissi F
9 M. Boadu F
7 C. Stengs M
Bench (12)
20 J. Clasie
10 D. de Wit
14 F. Druijf
5 T. Ouwejan
3 P. Hatzidiakos
16 J. Schendelaar
22 R. de Boer
29 J. Kramer
24 T. Reijnders
21 K. Goudmijn
28 A. Gudmundsson
17 Z. Aboukhlal

Coach: A. Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U
3,69
B ✓
3,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.