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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
AZ Alkmaar
S S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Feyenoord
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
4,0
4,7
Scored
2,8
3,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
4,8
Scored
2,8
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 5. · Feyenoord 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 +18 15
2 Ajax 5 4 1 0 +13 13
3 Feyenoord 4 3 0 1 +5 9
4 VVV Venlo 5 2 2 1 +1 8
5 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 1 1 +7 7
6 Willem II 5 2 1 2 +0 7
7 Heracles 4 2 1 1 -2 7
8 Den Haag 5 2 0 3 -6 6
9 Heerenveen 4 1 2 1 -1 5
10 Utrecht 4 1 2 1 -2 5
11 Excelsior 5 1 2 2 -3 5
12 De Graafschap 5 1 1 3 -3 4
13 FC Emmen 4 1 1 2 -7 4
14 Zwolle 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Groningen 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 NAC Breda 4 1 0 3 -6 3
17 For Sittard 4 0 2 2 -3 2
18 Vitesse 3 0 2 1 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Feyenoord
1–0 A. Gudmundsson
M. Boadu
5′
28′
🟨 Jordy Clasie
B. Johnsen 🔁
↦ M. Boadu
34′
Jonas Svensson 🟨
37′
40′
S. Berghuis 1–1
S. Larsson
Half-time 1–1
A. Maher 🔁
↦ P. Hatzidiakos
65′
74′
🔁 L. Sinisterra
↦ S. Larsson
M. Seuntjens 🔁
↦ O. Idrissi
81′
85′
🔁 N. Jørgensen
↦ R. van Persie
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-1-2
1 M. Bizot G
2 J. Svensson D
34 R. van Rhijn D
12 P. Hatzidiakos D
5 T. Ouwejan D
6 F. Midtsjø M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
10 G. Til M
28 A. Gudmundsson M
11 O. Idrissi F
21 M. Boadu F
Bench (8)
9 B. Johnsen
26 A. Maher
20 M. Seuntjens
3 H. Weigelt
14 D. Rotariu
15 O. Wijndal
22 P. Velthuizen
23 L. Bergsma

Coach: J. van den Brom

Feyenoord

4-3-3
22 J. Bijlow G
6 J. van der Heijden D
33 Eric Botteghin D
4 J. St. Juste D
15 T. Malacia D
28 J. Toornstra M
8 J. Clasie M
10 T. Vilhena M
32 R. van Persie F
19 S. Berghuis F
11 S. Larsson F
Bench (11)
17 L. Sinisterra
9 N. Jørgensen
1 K. Vermeer
2 B. Nieuwkoop
3 S. van Beek
13 J. Delle
18 Y. Ayoub
20 R. Tapia
27 M. El Hankouri
29 C. Verdonk
34 D. Vente

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.