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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

AZ Alkmaar

T S S U T

5–1

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,7

4,7

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 63%

25%

100%

Average goals

2,3

4,2

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

63% Possession 37%

14 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 5

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 7. · Sparta Rotterdam 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	5	3	2	0	+6	11
2	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+11	10
3	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Twente	5	2	3	0	+4	9
5	Willem II	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+5	7
8	Utrecht	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Heerenveen	5	1	3	1	+2	6
10	Feyenoord	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-1	6
12	VVV Venlo	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-5	5
14	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	FC Emmen	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Waalwijk	5	0	1	4	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Twente	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Heerenveen	3	0	3	0	+0	3
9	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	FC Emmen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Willem II	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Feyenoord	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Waalwijk	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Willem II	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Vitesse	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Twente	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	VVV Venlo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.