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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Willem II
T S T S S
0–1
Full-time
Feyenoord
T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
2,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 38%
75%
0%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
75%
33%
Both score Ø 88%
75%
100%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 3. · Feyenoord 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 4 3 1 0 +11 10
2 Twente 5 2 3 0 +4 9
3 Willem II 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Vitesse 4 2 2 0 +5 8
5 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 1 0 +6 7
7 PSV Eindhoven 3 2 1 0 +4 7
8 Utrecht 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Heerenveen 5 1 3 1 +2 6
10 Den Haag 5 2 0 3 -1 6
11 VVV Venlo 5 2 0 3 -4 6
12 Heracles 5 1 2 2 -5 5
13 Groningen 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Zwolle 5 1 1 3 -5 4
15 Feyenoord 3 0 3 0 +0 3
16 FC Emmen 5 1 0 4 -7 3
17 For Sittard 4 0 2 2 -5 2
18 Waalwijk 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Feyenoord
35′
🟨 Ridgeciano Haps
35′
🟨 Edgar Ié
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 N. Bannis
↦ L. Narsingh
62′
🔁 L. Geertruida
↦ R. Karsdorp
Pol Llonch 🟨
68′
J. Ogenia 🔁
↦ D. Dankerlui
72′
74′
S. Berghuis 0–1
P. Gladon 🔁
↦ C. Nunnely
81′
E. Kabangu 🔁
↦ V. Pavlidis
81′
87′
🔁 W. Burger
↦ O. Kökçü
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Willem II

4-3-3
1 T. Wellenreuther G
4 J. Peters D
3 F. Heerkens D
25 S. Holmén D
15 D. Dankerlui D
8 Pol Llonch M
17 D. Saddiki M
10 V. Pavlidis F
11 M. Köhlert F
16 M. Vrousai M
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (9)
29 J. Ogenia
9 P. Gladon
14 E. Kabangu
22 João Queirós
24 J. McGarry
27 V. van den Bogert
12 M. Woud
33 R. Zuijderwijk
36 C. van den Berg

Coach: A. Koster

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 K. Vermeer G
33 Eric Botteghin D
32 Edgar Ié D
5 R. Haps D
27 R. Karsdorp D
19 L. Fer M
20 R. Tapia M
23 O. Kökçü M
7 L. Narsingh F
10 S. Berghuis F
17 L. Sinisterra F
Bench (10)
24 N. Bannis
38 L. Geertruida
35 W. Burger
14 G. Johnston
22 J. Bijlow
18 Y. Ayoub
8 L. Kelly
15 T. Malacia
25 M. Azarkan
21 N. Marsman

Coach: J. Stam

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,64
U
3,72
B ✓
1,94
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,58
U2,5 ✓
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.