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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
AZ Alkmaar
S S S S T
0–4
Full-time
Feyenoord
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 13
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 7. · Feyenoord 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 7 6 0 1 +15 18
2 Heerenveen 6 4 2 0 +5 14
3 Zwolle 7 4 2 1 +3 14
4 Vitesse 6 4 1 1 +8 13
5 Feyenoord 6 4 0 2 +6 12
6 VVV Venlo 7 3 3 1 +4 12
7 AZ Alkmaar 6 4 0 2 +3 12
8 Ajax 6 3 1 2 +5 10
9 Den Haag 7 3 1 3 -3 10
10 Utrecht 6 3 0 3 -4 9
11 Groningen 7 2 2 3 -2 8
12 Heracles 7 2 2 3 -2 8
13 Excelsior 7 2 1 4 -4 7
14 NAC Breda 7 2 1 4 -5 7
15 Twente 7 2 0 5 -1 6
16 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 2 3 -5 5
17 Willem II 7 1 0 6 -12 3
18 Roda 6 0 0 6 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Feyenoord
11′
S. Berghuis 0–1
S. Larsson
17′
S. Larsson 0–2
D. dos Santos 🔁
↦ M. Vejinovic
38′
41′
S. Berghuis 0–3
Half-time 0–4
57′
T. Vilhena 0–4
S. Berghuis
T. Koopmeiners 🔁
↦ A. Jahanbakhsh
66′
76′
🔁 M. Nelom
↦ R. Haps
J. Helmer 🔁
↦ M. Seuntjens
85′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
3 R. van Eijden D
30 S. Wuytens D
2 J. Svensson D
26 O. Wijndal D
10 M. Vejinovic M
8 J. van Overeem M
20 M. Seuntjens F
15 G. Til M
7 A. Jahanbakhsh F
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (8)
19 D. dos Santos
14 T. Koopmeiners
17 J. Helmer
12 P. Hatzidiakos
16 G. Coutinho
23 R. van Rhijn
27 F. Friday
28 L. Garcia

Coach: J. van den Brom

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
5 R. Haps D
4 J. St. Juste D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
20 R. Tapia M
10 T. Vilhena M
21 S. Amrabat M
19 S. Berghuis F
11 S. Larsson F
7 J. Boëtius F
Bench (10)
18 M. Nelom
2 B. Nieuwkoop
3 S. van Beek
14 B. Basaçikoglu
17 K. Diks
22 J. Bijlow
29 M. Kramer
30 R. ten Hove
34 D. Vente
36 E. Hansson

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.