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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

AZ Alkmaar

S S T T S

4–0

Full-time

Waalwijk

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 43%

70%

15%

Points per game

2,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

65%

75%

Both score Ø 45%

30%

60%

Average goals

2,9

3,5

Scored

2,1

1,2

Conceded

0,8

2,4

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%

20 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 1

4 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 2. · Waalwijk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	20	15	2	3	+42	47
2	AZ Alkmaar	20	14	2	4	+27	44
3	Feyenoord	20	10	7	3	+8	37
4	Willem II	20	11	4	5	+7	37
5	PSV Eindhoven	20	10	6	4	+19	36
6	Vitesse	20	10	4	6	+10	34
7	Utrecht	20	10	3	7	+12	33
8	Groningen	20	8	5	7	+4	29
9	Heerenveen	20	7	7	6	+4	28
10	Heracles	20	7	5	8	+3	26
11	Sparta Rotterdam	20	6	6	8	-4	24
12	FC Emmen	20	6	4	10	-13	22
13	Twente	20	5	6	9	-11	21
14	For Sittard	20	5	5	10	-21	20
15	VVV Venlo	20	6	1	13	-26	19
16	Zwolle	20	5	3	12	-17	18
17	Den Haag	20	4	4	12	-20	16
18	Waalwijk	20	3	2	15	-24	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	9	0	1	+30	27
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	7	2	1	+17	23
3	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	1	2	+14	22
4	Feyenoord	10	6	3	1	+8	21
5	FC Emmen	10	6	2	2	+7	20
6	Groningen	10	6	1	3	+8	19
7	Utrecht	10	6	0	4	+13	18
8	Sparta Rotterdam	10	5	3	2	+9	18
9	Vitesse	10	5	3	2	+7	18
10	Willem II	10	5	3	2	+5	18
11	For Sittard	10	5	2	3	+4	17
12	Heracles	10	5	1	4	+9	16
13	Heerenveen	11	3	6	2	+1	15
14	VVV Venlo	10	4	1	5	-8	13
15	Twente	10	3	3	4	-2	12
16	Zwolle	9	3	2	4	-3	11
17	Den Haag	10	2	4	4	-3	10
18	Waalwijk	10	2	1	7	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	1	2	+13	22
2	Ajax	10	6	2	2	+12	20
3	Willem II	10	6	1	3	+2	19
4	Vitesse	10	5	1	4	+3	16
5	Feyenoord	10	4	4	2	+0	16
6	Utrecht	10	4	3	3	-1	15
7	Heerenveen	9	4	1	4	+3	13
8	PSV Eindhoven	10	3	4	3	+2	13
9	Groningen	10	2	4	4	-4	10
10	Heracles	10	2	4	4	-6	10
11	Twente	10	2	3	5	-9	9
12	Zwolle	11	2	1	8	-14	7
13	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	3	6	-13	6
14	Den Haag	10	2	0	8	-17	6
15	VVV Venlo	10	2	0	8	-18	6
16	Waalwijk	10	1	1	8	-17	4
17	For Sittard	10	0	3	7	-25	3
18	FC Emmen	10	0	2	8	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.