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Eredivisie

Referee: Jochem Kamphuis

For Sittard

T S T S T

3–2

Full-time

Waalwijk

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Waalwijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 19%

25%

13%

Points per game

0,9

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

69%

75%

Both score Ø 60%

56%

63%

Average goals

3,8

3,6

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

46% Possession 54%

21 Shots 11

13 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 10

5 Corners 4

4 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match For Sittard 14. · Waalwijk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	13	2	1	+38	41
2	AZ Alkmaar	16	12	2	2	+30	38
3	Willem II	17	10	2	5	+5	32
4	PSV Eindhoven	16	9	4	3	+18	31
5	Heerenveen	17	7	6	4	+7	27
6	Utrecht	16	8	2	6	+7	26
7	Heracles	16	7	4	5	+7	25
8	Feyenoord	16	6	7	3	+2	25
9	Vitesse	16	7	3	6	+2	24
10	Groningen	17	6	4	7	+1	22
11	Sparta Rotterdam	16	5	5	6	-4	20
12	Twente	16	5	4	7	-5	19
13	FC Emmen	16	4	3	9	-14	15
14	For Sittard	16	4	3	9	-20	15
15	VVV Venlo	16	5	0	11	-23	15
16	Den Haag	17	3	4	10	-13	13
17	Zwolle	16	4	1	11	-15	13
18	Waalwijk	16	2	2	12	-23	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	7	0	1	+24	21
2	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	+15	19
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	+14	19
4	Heracles	8	5	1	2	+12	16
5	Willem II	8	5	1	2	+5	16
6	Utrecht	8	5	0	3	+10	15
7	Feyenoord	8	4	3	1	+4	15
8	Sparta Rotterdam	8	4	2	2	+6	14
9	For Sittard	8	4	2	2	+5	14
10	FC Emmen	8	4	2	2	+4	14
11	Vitesse	8	4	2	2	+4	14
12	Heerenveen	9	3	5	1	+2	14
13	Groningen	8	4	1	3	+5	13
14	VVV Venlo	8	4	0	4	-7	12
15	Twente	8	3	2	3	+1	11
16	Zwolle	8	3	1	4	-3	10
17	Den Haag	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Waalwijk	8	1	1	6	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	2	0	+14	20
2	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	+15	19
3	Willem II	9	5	1	3	+0	16
4	Heerenveen	8	4	1	3	+5	13
5	PSV Eindhoven	8	3	3	2	+4	12
6	Utrecht	8	3	2	3	-3	11
7	Vitesse	8	3	1	4	-2	10
8	Feyenoord	8	2	4	2	-2	10
9	Groningen	9	2	3	4	-4	9
10	Heracles	8	2	3	3	-5	9
11	Twente	8	2	2	4	-6	8
12	Den Haag	8	2	0	6	-8	6
13	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	-10	6
14	Waalwijk	8	1	1	6	-14	4
15	Zwolle	8	1	0	7	-12	3
16	VVV Venlo	8	1	0	7	-16	3
17	FC Emmen	8	0	1	7	-18	1
18	For Sittard	8	0	1	7	-25	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.