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Eredivisie

Referee: Marc Nagtegaal

Waalwijk

T S T U S

1–3

Full-time

Heerenveen

U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 27%

13%

40%

Points per game

0,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

73%

47%

Both score Ø 64%

60%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

2,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 21

4 Shots on target 10

4 Blocked shots 1

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

6 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 18. · Heerenveen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	13	2	1	+38	41
2	AZ Alkmaar	16	12	2	2	+30	38
3	PSV Eindhoven	16	9	4	3	+18	31
4	Willem II	16	9	2	5	+4	29
5	Feyenoord	16	6	7	3	+2	25
6	Heracles	15	7	3	5	+7	24
7	Heerenveen	15	6	6	3	+6	24
8	Vitesse	16	7	3	6	+2	24
9	Utrecht	15	7	2	6	+6	23
10	Groningen	15	6	3	6	+2	21
11	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	4	6	-4	19
12	Twente	16	5	4	7	-5	19
13	FC Emmen	16	4	3	9	-14	15
14	For Sittard	16	4	3	9	-20	15
15	VVV Venlo	16	5	0	11	-23	15
16	Zwolle	16	4	1	11	-15	13
17	Den Haag	16	3	3	10	-13	12
18	Waalwijk	15	2	2	11	-21	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	7	0	1	+24	21
2	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	+15	19
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	+14	19
4	Heracles	8	5	1	2	+12	16
5	Willem II	8	5	1	2	+5	16
6	Utrecht	8	5	0	3	+10	15
7	Feyenoord	8	4	3	1	+4	15
8	For Sittard	8	4	2	2	+5	14
9	FC Emmen	8	4	2	2	+4	14
10	Vitesse	8	4	2	2	+4	14
11	Heerenveen	8	3	5	0	+3	14
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	4	1	2	+6	13
13	Groningen	7	4	1	2	+6	13
14	VVV Venlo	8	4	0	4	-7	12
15	Twente	8	3	2	3	+1	11
16	Zwolle	8	3	1	4	-3	10
17	Den Haag	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Waalwijk	7	1	1	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	2	0	+14	20
2	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	+15	19
3	Willem II	8	4	1	3	-1	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	8	3	3	2	+4	12
5	Heerenveen	7	3	1	3	+3	10
6	Vitesse	8	3	1	4	-2	10
7	Feyenoord	8	2	4	2	-2	10
8	Utrecht	7	2	2	3	-4	8
9	Groningen	8	2	2	4	-4	8
10	Heracles	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	Twente	8	2	2	4	-6	8
12	Den Haag	8	2	0	6	-8	6
13	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	-10	6
14	Waalwijk	8	1	1	6	-14	4
15	Zwolle	8	1	0	7	-12	3
16	VVV Venlo	8	1	0	7	-16	3
17	FC Emmen	8	0	1	7	-18	1
18	For Sittard	8	0	1	7	-25	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.