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Eredivisie

Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom

Heerenveen

S S T U T

1–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

100%

17%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 53%

37%

68%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

53%

63%

Both score Ø 50%

74%

26%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,6

2,1

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%

10 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 8. · AZ Alkmaar 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	19	15	2	2	+43	47
2	AZ Alkmaar	19	13	2	4	+26	41
3	Willem II	19	11	3	5	+7	36
4	PSV Eindhoven	19	10	5	4	+19	35
5	Feyenoord	19	9	7	3	+7	34
6	Utrecht	20	10	3	7	+12	33
7	Vitesse	19	10	3	6	+10	33
8	Heerenveen	19	7	7	5	+5	28
9	Heracles	19	7	5	7	+4	26
10	Groningen	19	7	5	7	+3	26
11	Sparta Rotterdam	19	6	5	8	-4	23
12	FC Emmen	19	6	3	10	-13	21
13	Twente	19	5	5	9	-11	20
14	For Sittard	19	5	4	10	-21	19
15	Zwolle	19	5	2	12	-17	17
16	Den Haag	20	4	4	12	-20	16
17	VVV Venlo	19	5	1	13	-27	16
18	Waalwijk	19	3	2	14	-23	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	10	9	0	1	+30	27
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	1	1	+17	22
3	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	1	2	+14	22
4	Feyenoord	10	6	3	1	+8	21
5	FC Emmen	10	6	2	2	+7	20
6	Utrecht	10	6	0	4	+13	18
7	Sparta Rotterdam	9	5	2	2	+9	17
8	Vitesse	9	5	2	2	+7	17
9	Willem II	9	5	2	2	+5	17
10	For Sittard	10	5	2	3	+4	17
11	Heracles	9	5	1	3	+10	16
12	Groningen	9	5	1	3	+7	16
13	Heerenveen	10	3	6	1	+2	15
14	VVV Venlo	10	4	1	5	-8	13
15	Twente	10	3	3	4	-2	12
16	Zwolle	9	3	2	4	-3	11
17	Den Haag	10	2	4	4	-3	10
18	Waalwijk	9	2	1	6	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+13	20
2	AZ Alkmaar	9	6	1	2	+12	19
3	Willem II	10	6	1	3	+2	19
4	Vitesse	10	5	1	4	+3	16
5	Utrecht	10	4	3	3	-1	15
6	Heerenveen	9	4	1	4	+3	13
7	PSV Eindhoven	10	3	4	3	+2	13
8	Feyenoord	9	3	4	2	-1	13
9	Groningen	10	2	4	4	-4	10
10	Heracles	10	2	4	4	-6	10
11	Twente	9	2	2	5	-9	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	3	6	-13	6
13	Zwolle	10	2	0	8	-14	6
14	Den Haag	10	2	0	8	-17	6
15	Waalwijk	10	1	1	8	-17	4
16	VVV Venlo	9	1	0	8	-19	3
17	For Sittard	9	0	2	7	-25	2
18	FC Emmen	9	0	1	8	-20	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.