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Eredivisie
Referee: P van Boekel
Vitesse
S T S S U
1–0
Full-time
Zwolle
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 15/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
53%
6%
Points per game
1,7
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
67%
35%
Both score Ø 51%
60%
41%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
3 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 7. · Zwolle 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 17 13 1 3 +20 40
2 Ajax 17 12 3 2 +47 39
3 Feyenoord 17 11 3 3 +22 36
4 Twente 17 9 4 4 +6 31
5 Utrecht 16 8 4 4 +11 28
6 Cambuur 17 9 0 8 -7 27
7 Vitesse 15 8 2 5 -2 26
8 AZ Alkmaar 15 8 1 6 +9 25
9 Heerenveen 16 7 4 5 +0 25
10 Nijmegen 17 6 4 7 -3 22
11 Go Ahead Eagles 17 6 3 8 -8 21
12 Groningen 17 4 7 6 -6 19
13 Willem II 17 5 3 9 -17 18
14 Heracles 17 5 2 10 -5 17
15 Waalwijk 17 3 6 8 -11 15
16 For Sittard 17 3 4 10 -22 13
17 Sparta Rotterdam 17 2 6 9 -12 12
18 Zwolle 17 1 3 13 -22 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Zwolle
6′
🟨 Siemen Voet
Riechedly Bazoer 🟨
9′
Half-time 0–0
47′
ℹ️ Mustafa Saymak
VAR: Goal cancelled
1–0 L. Openda
N. Frederiksen
47′
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen 🟨
50′
55′
🟨 Mustafa Saymak
61′
🟨 Thomas Van den Belt
68′
🔁 R. van den Berg
↦ B. van Polen
68′
🔁 P. Clement
↦ M. Saymak
68′
🔁 E. Mbinga
↦ R. Strieder
P. Vroegh 🔁
↦ N. Frederiksen
71′
T. Hájek 🔁
↦ R. Bazoer
78′
Patrick Vroegh 🟨
81′
82′
🔁 S. Lagsir
↦ L. Adžić
84′
🔁 G. Kastaneer
↦ T. van den Belt
T. Buitink 🔁
↦ D. Huisman
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Vitesse

3-5-2
24 J. Houwen G
2 E. Dasa M
32 M. Wittek M
6 J. Rasmussen D
3 D. Doekhi D
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer D
8 S. Tronstad M
40 D. Huisman M
7 L. Openda F
11 N. Frederiksen F
Bench (11)
36 P. Vroegh
18 T. Hájek
29 T. Buitink
27 R. Yapi
23 E. Verstappen
19 J. von Moos
1 M. Schubert
42 M. Manhoef
22 T. Domgjoni
20 Y. Gboho
39 E. Cornelisse

Coach: T. Letsch

Zwolle

3-5-2
1 K. Lamprou G
2 B. van Polen D
4 Y. Nakayama D
34 M. De Wit M
3 S. Voet D
6 M. Saymak M
13 R. Strieder M
20 T. van den Belt M
11 L. Adžić F
9 S. Tedić F
23 E. Reijnders M
Bench (11)
33 R. van den Berg
10 P. Clement
32 E. Mbinga
21 S. Lagsir
7 G. Kastaneer
37 R. Koolwijk
45 C. Landu
14 L. Fernandes
40 M. Hauptmeijer
16 J. Schendelaar
18 G. Caschili

Coach: D. Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,52
U
4,19
B
6,57
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P van Boekel · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.