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Premier League
Referee: D England
Brighton
S S T U T
0–0
Full-time
Sunderland
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
38%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
56%
38%
Both score Ø 57%
69%
44%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,13 xG 1,38
57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brighton 10. · Sunderland 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Arsenal 16 11 3 2 +20 +17.5 36
2 Man City 16 11 1 4 +22 +13.2 34
3 Aston Villa 16 10 3 3 +8 -4.8 33
4 Chelsea 17 8 5 4 +12 +5.5 29
5 Crystal Palace 16 7 5 4 +5 +7.9 26
6 Man United 16 7 5 4 +4 +8.8 26
7 Liverpool 16 8 2 6 +2 +6.7 26
8 Sunderland 16 7 5 4 +2 -8.0 26
9 Everton 16 7 3 6 -1 -2.9 24
10 Brighton 16 6 5 5 +2 +4.6 23
11 Newcastle 17 6 5 6 +1 +4.9 23
12 Tottenham 16 6 4 6 +4 -7.0 22
13 Bournemouth 16 5 6 5 -3 +0.2 21
14 Fulham 16 6 2 8 -3 -4.6 20
15 Brentford 16 6 2 8 -3 +1.8 20
16 Nott'm Forest 16 5 3 8 -8 -3.1 18
17 Leeds 16 4 4 8 -10 -0.9 16
18 West Ham 16 3 4 9 -13 -10.1 13
19 Burnley 16 3 1 12 -15 -18.7 10
20 Wolves 16 0 2 14 -26 -11.0 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brighton Sunderland
Brajan Gruda 🟨
19′
Diego Coppola 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
J. Veltman 🔁
↦ M. Wieffer
46′
63′
🔁 R. Mundle
↦ S. Adingra
K. Mitoma 🔁
↦ M. De Cuyper
64′
64′
🔁 H. Diarra
↦ C. Rigg
J. Milner 🔁
↦ J. Hinshelwood
71′
C. Kostoulas 🔁
↦ Y. Minteh
71′
72′
🔁 W. Isidor
↦ B. Brobbey
79′
🟨 Daniel Ballard
86′
🟨 Enzo Le Fée
T. Watson 🔁
↦ B. Gruda
87′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Brighton

4-2-3-1
1 B. Verbruggen G
27 M. Wieffer D
42 D. Coppola D
21 O. Boscagli D
24 F. Kadioglu D
26 Y. Ayari M
13 J. Hinshelwood M
11 Y. Minteh M
8 B. Gruda M
29 M. De Cuyper M
10 G. Rutter F
Bench (9)
23 J. Steele
20 J. Milner
34 J. Veltman
22 K. Mitoma
19 C. Kostoulas
54 F. Simmonds
14 T. Watson
49 J. Knight
58 N. Oriola

Coach: Fabian Hurzeler

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
22 R. Roefs G
20 N. Mukiele D
5 D. Ballard D
15 O. Alderete D
32 T. Hume D
34 G. Xhaka M
6 L. Geertruida M
11 C. Rigg M
28 E. Le Fee M
24 S. Adingra M
9 B. Brobbey F
Bench (9)
1 A. Patterson
3 D. Cirkin
14 R. Mundle
50 H. Jones
19 H. Diarra
18 W. Isidor
4 D. Neil
33 L. F. Hjelde
12 E. Mayenda

Coach: Regis Le Bris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,65
U ✓
3,95
B
5,16
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D England · 172 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.