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Super League
Referee: A Tsakalidis
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,0
1,8
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Super League · 16/14 matches
Win Ø 21%
13%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
38%
36%
Both score Ø 47%
44%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
7 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 12. · Aris Thessalonikis 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 16 12 3 1 +24 39
2 AEK 15 12 1 2 +15 37
3 PAOK 15 11 2 2 +19 35
4 Levadeiakos 15 7 5 3 +17 26
5 Panathinaikos 14 6 5 3 +6 23
6 Volos NFC 15 7 1 7 -3 22
7 Aris 15 5 5 5 -3 20
8 Panetolikos 15 5 3 7 -7 18
9 Kifisia 15 4 5 6 -2 17
10 Aris Thessalonikis 14 4 5 5 -4 17
11 OFI Crete 14 5 0 9 -8 15
12 Asteras Tripolis 16 2 8 6 -4 14
13 Atromitos 15 3 3 9 -7 12
14 Larisa 15 1 5 9 -15 8
15 Panserraikos 15 1 3 11 -28 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis Aris Thessalonikis
22′
⚽ R. Ivanov 1–0
own goal
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe 🟨
34′
35′
🟨 Michalis Panagidis
Konstantinos Pomonis 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
J. Bartolo 🔁
↦ J. Mendieta
46′
Munoz Mumo 🔁
↦ O. Alagbe
46′
Julián Bartolo 🟨
55′
N. Kaltsas 🔁
↦ K. Ketu
57′
66′
🟨 Lindsay Rose
73′
🟨 Konstantinos Galanopoulos
N. Gioacchini 🔁
↦ D. Emmanouilidis
74′
T. Tzandaris 🔁
↦ E. Yablonskiy
75′
76′
🔁 M. Gning
↦ O. Morutan
76′
🔁 Dudu
↦ M. Panagidis
83′
🔁 G. Gianniotas
↦ C. Perez
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-4-2
1 N. Papadopoulos G
72 D. Fernandez D
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos D
2 R. Ivanov D
29 K. Pomonis D
11 D. Emmanouilidis M
5 E. Yablonskiy M
69 O. Alagbe
40 K. Ketu
32 J. Mendieta F
41 F. Macheda F
Bench (12)
16 P. Tsintotas
61 V. Chatziemmanouil
3 N. Sipcic
7 J. Bartolo
8 T. Tzandaris
9 N. Gioacchini
10 E. Gonzalez
19 P. Castano
20 N. Kaltsas
22 Munoz Mumo
26 O. M. Chidera
49 G. Charalampoglou

Coach: Georgios Antonopoulos

Aris Thessalonikis

4-4-1-1
33 G. Athanasiadis G
15 A. Tejero D
24 P. Alvaro D
92 L. Rose D
17 M. Frydek D
7 C. Perez M
6 K. Galanopoulos M
8 Monchu M
18 O. Morutan M
77 M. Panagidis F
80 L. Moron F
Bench (8)
91 E. Karaj
21 L. Majkic
70 G. Gianniotas
41 K. Charoupas
29 S. Papasarafianos
26 G. Misehouy
25 M. Gning
28 Dudu

Coach: Michalis Grigoriou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A Tsakalidis · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.