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Coupe de France
Referee: S Zolota
Freyming
T U S
0–3
Full-time
Chantilly
T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freyming Chantilly
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 29%
33%
25%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Coupe de France · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 13
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Freyming 44. · Chantilly 18. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 3 3 0 0 +13 9
2 Reims 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 Montpellier 3 3 0 0 +5 9
4 Les Herbiers 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 +12 6
6 St Maur Lusitanos 2 2 0 0 +10 6
7 Amiens 2 2 0 0 +7 6
8 Olympique Marcquois 2 2 0 0 +7 6
9 Nancy 2 2 0 0 +6 6
10 Pontivy GSI 2 2 0 0 +6 6
11 Troyes 2 2 0 0 +5 6
12 Feignies-Aulnoye 3 2 0 1 +4 6
13 Guingamp 3 2 0 1 +4 6
14 Orleans 2 2 0 0 +4 6
15 Grenoble 2 2 0 0 +4 6
16 Dieppe 2 2 0 0 +4 6
17 Lyon Duchere 2 2 0 0 +4 6
18 Chantilly 2 2 0 0 +4 6
19 Concarneau 2 2 0 0 +4 6
20 Canet Roussillon 3 2 0 1 +3 6
21 Bourg-en-bresse 01 2 2 0 0 +3 6
22 Istres 2 2 0 0 +3 6
23 Bordeaux 2 2 0 0 +2 6
24 Bayeux 2 2 0 0 +2 6
25 Le Puy Foot 2 2 0 0 +2 6
26 Le Mans 3 1 2 0 +1 5
27 Sochaux 2 1 1 0 +6 4
28 Bastia 2 1 1 0 +6 4
29 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +5 4
30 Chauvigny 2 1 1 0 +4 4
31 Aubervilliers 2 1 1 0 +3 4
32 Raon l'Etape 2 1 1 0 +3 4
33 Mulhouse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
34 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 2 1 1 0 +3 4
35 Vendée Fontenay 2 1 1 0 +3 4
36 Feurs 2 1 1 0 +2 4
37 Granville 2 1 1 0 +2 4
38 Romorantin 2 1 1 0 +2 4
39 Red Star 2 1 1 0 +2 4
40 Périgny 3 1 1 1 +1 4
41 Gosier 2 1 1 0 +1 4
42 Poitiers 2 1 1 0 +1 4
43 Biesheim 2 1 1 0 +1 4
44 Freyming 2 1 1 0 +1 4
45 Marmande 2 1 1 0 +1 4
46 Les Sables-d'Olonne 2 1 1 0 +1 4
47 Montreuil 2 1 1 0 +1 4
48 SA Mérignac 2 1 1 0 +1 4
49 Croix Football IC 3 1 1 1 -3 4
50 Ancienne Château-Gontier 2 1 0 1 +5 3
51 Stade Briochin 2 1 0 1 +3 3
52 Racing Besançon 2 1 0 1 +3 3
53 Carnoux 2 1 0 1 +2 3
54 MJEP Cormontreuil 2 1 0 1 +2 3
55 Lens 1 1 0 0 +2 3
56 Chalon 2 1 0 1 +2 3
57 Sarreguemines 2 1 0 1 +1 3
58 Stade Plabennec 2 1 0 1 +1 3
59 Rodez 2 1 0 1 +1 3
60 Pau FC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
61 Mazeres 2 1 0 1 +0 3
62 Annecy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
63 Avranches 3 0 3 0 +0 3
64 Bondues 2 1 0 1 +0 3
65 Union Saint-Jean 2 1 0 1 +0 3
66 Yvetot 2 1 0 1 +0 3
67 Chateauroux 2 1 0 1 -1 3
68 Montceau 2 1 0 1 -1 3
69 Beaucouzé 2 1 0 1 -1 3
70 Torcy 2 1 0 1 -2 3
71 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 1 0 1 -3 3
72 Abbeville 2 1 0 1 -4 3
73 Saint-Pauloise 2 1 0 1 -5 3
74 Oissel 2 0 2 0 +0 2
75 Blois 2 0 2 0 +0 2
76 Villeneuve-la-Garenne 2 0 2 0 +0 2
77 Hauts Lyonnais 2 0 2 0 +0 2
78 Stade Béthunois 2 0 2 0 +0 2
79 Rhone-Vallee 2 0 2 0 +0 2
80 Steenvoorde 2 0 2 0 +0 2
81 Saint-Malo 2 0 2 0 +0 2
82 Saint-Cyr Collonges 2 0 2 0 +0 2
83 Nord Lozère 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Racing Colombes 92 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Pontarlier 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Etoile Matoury 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Wittenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Andrézieux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Loon-Plage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Saint-Meziery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Grasse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Villars-l'Isle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Ivry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Etoile Bobigny 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Saint-Brice Courcelles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Pen Hir 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Épernay 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Drancy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Gobelins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Angers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Colomiers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Thonon Évian 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Eveil 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Mauguio Carnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 Le Geldar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
116 Plouvorn 2 0 1 1 -1 1
117 Selongey 2 0 1 1 -1 1
118 Beauvais 2 0 1 1 -1 1
119 APM Metz 2 0 1 1 -2 1
120 UF Touraine 2 0 1 1 -2 1
121 Seyssinet-Pariset 2 0 1 1 -2 1
122 Bogny 2 0 1 1 -3 1
123 Espoir Ste Luce 2 0 1 1 -4 1
124 Sarre Union 2 0 1 1 -6 1
125 Ecotay Moingt 2 0 1 1 -10 1
126 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Moulien 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 Caen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Seignosse Capbreton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 ES Cappelle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Cannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Saint-Colomban Locminé 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 L'Etrat La Tour 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Caen PTT 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Lapalisse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 SS Allinges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Boé Bon Encontre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Angoulême 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 FC 2 Rives 82 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Bandrele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Montmorillon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Dominicaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 Furiani-Agliani 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Orvault SF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Dinan Léhon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Lavaur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Quetigny 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Trélissac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Agde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Challans 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Forbach 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Atlas Paillade 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Avion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Plédran 1 0 0 1 -2 0
160 Longuenesse 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Pierrelatte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Le Poinconnet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 SA Beaumont 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Porto Portugais Amiens 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Blagnac 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Auch 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 ASS Still Mutzig 1 0 0 1 -3 0
170 Olympique de Villefontaine 1 0 0 1 -3 0
171 Magenta 1 0 0 1 -3 0
172 Auby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
173 Les Bleuets 1 0 0 1 -3 0
174 Montreal-la-Cluse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
175 Premontre 1 0 0 1 -3 0
176 Saint-Amand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
177 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -4 0
178 Avenir Sportif de Gouzon 1 0 0 1 -4 0
179 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -4 0
180 Saint-Renan 1 0 0 1 -4 0
181 Thionville Lusitanos 1 0 0 1 -4 0
182 GSA Tomblaine 1 0 0 1 -5 0
183 OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys 1 0 0 1 -5 0
184 US Chateau-Malo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
185 Le Cellier Mauves 1 0 0 1 -6 0
186 Camon 1 0 0 1 -7 0
187 Stade Quimperlois 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Freyming Chantilly
Half-time 0–0
65′
🔁 M. Sadjo
↦ X. Decroix
65′
🔁 C. Traore
↦ O. N'Diaye
67′
⚽ C. Traore 0–1
A. Rodrigues
S. Ammari 🔁
↦ Y. Jabir
69′
Y. Dahane 🔁
↦ W. Boukhalfa
72′
77′
⚽ D. Kone 0–2
N. Doumbia
79′
🔁 M. Sissoko
↦ A. Rodrigues
M. El Hellaoui 🔁
↦ F. Sido
82′
S. Kante 🔁
↦ A. Etarabti
82′
M. Mehiaoui 🔁
↦ A. Benachour
83′
90′
🔁 I. Bacha
↦ E. Joseph
90′
⚽ N. Doumbia 0–3
C. Traore
91′
🔁 M. Ferreira
↦ D. Kone
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Freyming

4-1-4-1
1 R. Ast G
2 M. Ghazzale D
4 M. Diarra D
5 J. Coignard D
3 A. Ezzaitouni D
10 F. Sido M
7 A. Etarabti M
8 W. Boukhalfa M
6 A. Benachour M
11 Y. Jabir M
9 M. Ouadah F
Bench (9)
13 O. Dahane
17 C. Amri
16 T. Canneddu
12 Y. Dahane
20 T. Kasmis
14 M. Mehiaoui
15 S. Ammari
18 M. El Hellaoui
19 S. Kante

Coach: Ammar Guesmia

Chantilly

3-4-2-1
1 C. Michel G
2 X. Decroix D
5 E. Seka D
4 S. Coulibaly D
10 O. N'Diaye M
8 N. Doumbia M
6 A. Issifou M
3 A. Rodrigues M
11 I. Karamoko F
9 D. Kone F
7 E. Joseph F
Bench (8)
16 M. Golitin
15 M. Ferreira
12 M. Sissoko
18 I. Bacha
19 Y. Boucharoud
14 I. Dibassy
17 M. Sadjo
13 C. Traore

Coach: Yacoub Yassine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.