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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Boavista

U T U T U

0–1

Full-time

Guimaraes

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,7

1,5

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

2,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

4,3

0,7

Scored

1,3

0,3

Conceded

3,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

19 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 1

9 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

21 Free kicks against 22

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Boavista 16. · Guimaraes 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Porto	4	2	1	1	+6	7
3	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Santa Clara	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Sp Braga	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	Maritimo	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Gil Vicente	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Nacional	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Moreirense	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Belenenses	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Famalicao	4	1	2	1	-3	5
12	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Portimonense	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Pacos Ferreira	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Rio Ave	4	0	3	1	-3	3
16	Boavista	3	0	2	1	-5	2
17	Tondela	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Farense	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Moreirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Pacos Ferreira	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Nacional	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Farense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Porto	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Famalicao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Santa Clara	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nacional	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Boavista	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Rio Ave	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Gil Vicente	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Farense	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.