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Primeira Liga
Referee: Tiago Martins
Boavista
T T T S T
0–0
Full-time
Guimaraes
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
25%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
7 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 11
2 Offside 0
24 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 14. · Guimaraes 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 9 7 0 2 +14 21
2 Sp Braga 8 5 3 0 +9 18
3 Benfica 9 5 2 2 +6 17
4 Rio Ave 8 5 2 1 +5 17
5 Sp Lisbon 8 5 1 2 +6 16
6 Santa Clara 8 4 2 2 +4 14
7 Moreirense 9 4 1 4 -5 13
8 Vitoria Setubal 8 3 2 3 +2 11
9 Guimaraes 8 3 2 3 +1 11
10 Belenenses 9 2 5 2 -1 11
11 Portimonense 9 3 2 4 -4 11
12 Maritimo 9 3 1 5 -6 10
13 Feirense 8 2 3 3 -1 9
14 Boavista 8 2 1 5 -6 7
15 Chaves 8 2 1 5 -6 7
16 Tondela 8 1 3 4 -2 6
17 Nacional 8 1 2 5 -10 5
18 Aves 8 1 1 6 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Guimaraes
Nwankwo Obiora 🟨
26′
45′
🟨 Pedrão
Half-time 0–0
57′
🟨 Rafa Soares
70′
🔁 Hélder Ferreira
↦ Mattheus
73′
🟨 Alhassan Wakaso
K. Ibrahim 🔁
↦ Mateus
74′
Rochinha 🟨
76′
78′
🔁 Welthon
↦ Alexandre Guedes
André Claro 🔁
↦ Fábio Espinho
81′
Talocha 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 André André
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Boavista

4-2-3-1
90 Helton Leite G
5 Talocha D
27 Neris D
2 Gonçalo Cardoso D
10 Fábio Espinho M
4 N. Obiora M
23 Rafael Costa M
17 Carraça D
7 Rochinha M
9 Mateus M
33 Rafael Lopes F
Bench (7)
19 K. Ibrahim
18 André Claro
1 Rafael Bracalli
3 Raphael Silva
20 Edu Machado
31 Matheus Índio
42 I. Mandiang

Coach: Jorge Simão

Guimaraes

4-2-3-1
1 Douglas Jesus G
2 Pedrão D
5 Rafa D
24 Y. Osorio D
17 F. Sacko D
11 André André M
25 A. Wakaso M
20 Tozé M
16 Mattheus M
9 Alexandre Guedes F
91 Davidson F
Bench (7)
22 Hélder Ferreira
7 Welthon
8 Pêpê Rodrigues
46 Frederico Venâncio
56 João Miguel
93 G. Celis
98 Dodô

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tiago Martins · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.