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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luis Godinho
Boavista
T T U T U
0–5
Full-time
Porto
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
1,2
3,3
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
6,0
4,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 8. · Porto 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Santa Clara 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Porto 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Moreirense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
6 Maritimo 2 1 0 1 -1 3
7 Nacional 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Boavista 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Portimonense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Pacos Ferreira 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Rio Ave 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Tondela 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Guimaraes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Farense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Sp Braga 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Famalicao 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Porto
Nuno Santos 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–1
47′
J. Corona 0–1
Otávio
57′
🔁 L. Díaz
↦ M. Uribe
A. Elis 🔁
↦ J. Benguche
59′
59′
Sérgio Oliveira 0–2
67′
M. Marega 0–3
Sérgio Oliveira
Show 🔁
↦ Gustavo
71′
71′
M. Marega 0–4
J. Corona
78′
🔁 M. Taremi
↦ Otávio
79′
🔁 Z. Sanusi
↦ Alex Telles
Miguel Reisinho 🔁
↦ Nuno Santos
85′
Nathan 🔁
↦ J. Gómez
85′
86′
🔁 Romário Baró
↦ Sérgio Oliveira
86′
🔁 Fábio Vieira
↦ J. Corona
92′
L. Díaz 0–5
Wilson Manafá
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Boavista

4-2-3-1
20 Léo Jardim G
3 A. Rami D
19 Ricardo Mangas D
2 R. Cannon D
4 J. Gómez D
6 Javi García M
7 Nuno Santos M
10 A. Gomes M
30 Paulinho M
8 Gustavo M
9 J. Benguche F
Bench (9)
17 A. Elis
23 Show
16 Miguel Reisinho
22 Nathan
1 Rafael Bracali
73 Tiago Morais
42 C. Castro
25 Y. Hamache
24 S. Pérez

Coach: Vasco Seabra

Porto

4-3-3
1 A. Marchesín G
3 Pepe D
13 Alex Telles D
19 C. Mbemba D
18 Wilson Manafá D
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
22 Danilo Pereira M
8 M. Uribe M
25 Otávio F
17 J. Corona F
11 M. Marega F
Bench (9)
7 L. Díaz
9 M. Taremi
12 Z. Sanusi
21 Romário Baró
50 Fábio Vieira
20 Zé Luís
4 Diogo Leite
57 João Mário
99 Diogo Costa

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,25
U
4,38
B ✓
1,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luis Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.