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Primeira Liga

Referee: Carlos Xistra

Boavista

T U T T S

2–0

Full-time

Guimaraes

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 29%

26%

32%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

16%

37%

Both score Ø 50%

42%

58%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,4

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%

9 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 5

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 11

21 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Boavista 14. · Guimaraes 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	20	19	0	1	+40	57
2	Porto	21	17	2	2	+37	53
3	Sp Lisbon	20	11	2	7	+10	35
4	Famalicao	20	10	5	5	+7	35
5	Sp Braga	20	10	3	7	+8	33
6	Rio Ave	20	9	5	6	+5	32
7	Guimaraes	19	6	8	5	+6	26
8	Setubal	19	6	7	6	-7	25
9	Vitoria Setubal	19	6	7	6	-7	25
10	Santa Clara	20	6	6	8	-7	24
11	Tondela	21	6	6	9	-9	24
12	Gil Vicente	20	5	8	7	-5	23
13	Moreirense	20	5	7	8	-1	22
14	Boavista	19	5	7	7	-4	22
15	Maritimo	20	4	9	7	-9	21
16	Belenenses	20	5	3	12	-20	18
17	Pacos Ferreira	20	4	4	12	-15	16
18	Portimonense	20	2	9	9	-14	15
19	Aves	20	4	0	16	-15	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	11	10	0	1	+23	30
2	Porto	10	9	0	1	+22	27
3	Famalicao	10	6	2	2	+10	20
4	Rio Ave	11	5	3	3	+5	18
5	Gil Vicente	11	4	6	1	+3	18
6	Guimaraes	10	5	2	3	+9	17
7	Sp Braga	9	5	2	2	+3	17
8	Sp Lisbon	9	5	0	4	+2	15
9	Moreirense	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Setubal	10	3	5	2	-3	14
11	Vitoria Setubal	10	3	5	2	-3	14
12	Santa Clara	11	3	3	5	-5	12
13	Maritimo	10	2	5	3	-2	11
14	Pacos Ferreira	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Boavista	9	2	4	3	-2	10
16	Belenenses	10	3	1	6	-10	10
17	Aves	9	3	0	6	+0	9
18	Portimonense	9	1	4	4	-4	7
19	Tondela	10	1	3	6	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	9	9	0	0	+17	27
2	Porto	11	8	2	1	+15	26
3	Sp Lisbon	11	6	2	3	+8	20
4	Tondela	11	5	3	3	+1	18
5	Sp Braga	11	5	1	5	+5	16
6	Famalicao	10	4	3	3	-3	15
7	Rio Ave	9	4	2	3	+0	14
8	Santa Clara	9	3	3	3	-2	12
9	Boavista	10	3	3	4	-2	12
10	Setubal	9	3	2	4	-4	11
11	Vitoria Setubal	9	3	2	4	-4	11
12	Maritimo	10	2	4	4	-7	10
13	Guimaraes	9	1	6	2	-3	9
14	Moreirense	11	1	5	5	-3	8
15	Belenenses	10	2	2	6	-10	8
16	Portimonense	11	1	5	5	-10	8
17	Gil Vicente	9	1	2	6	-8	5
18	Pacos Ferreira	9	1	2	6	-11	5
19	Aves	11	1	0	10	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.