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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hugo Miguel

Guimaraes

U S S T S

0–4

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,2

3,2

Scored

0,7

2,5

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,2

3,2

Scored

0,7

2,5

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

5 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guimaraes 5. · Sp Lisbon 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Benfica	6	5	0	1	+9	15
3	Sp Braga	6	4	0	2	+4	12
4	Porto	6	3	1	2	+6	10
5	Guimaraes	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Santa Clara	7	3	1	3	+0	10
7	Rio Ave	7	2	4	1	+0	10
8	Famalicao	7	2	3	2	-3	9
9	Pacos Ferreira	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Moreirense	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Tondela	7	2	2	3	-6	8
12	Nacional	6	1	4	1	+0	7
13	Belenenses	7	1	4	2	-2	7
14	Maritimo	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	Boavista	6	1	3	2	-3	6
16	Gil Vicente	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Portimonense	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Farense	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Moreirense	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Tondela	4	2	1	1	-1	7
5	Porto	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Pacos Ferreira	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Famalicao	4	1	2	1	-3	5
9	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Maritimo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Nacional	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Belenenses	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Boavista	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Farense	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Guimaraes	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Rio Ave	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	Santa Clara	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Porto	3	1	1	1	+4	4
8	Famalicao	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Nacional	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Boavista	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Portimonense	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Maritimo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Farense	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Gil Vicente	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Moreirense	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.