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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fábio Veríssimo
Guimaraes
U T U S S
0–1
Full-time
Sp Braga
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
0%
75%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,8
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 0
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 9
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 2
The table before the match Guimaraes 6. · Sp Braga 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 +10 12
2 Porto 5 3 1 1 +7 10
3 Sp Lisbon 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Moreirense 5 2 2 1 +1 8
5 Santa Clara 5 2 1 2 +1 7
6 Guimaraes 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Sp Braga 4 2 0 2 +2 6
8 Nacional 5 1 3 1 +0 6
9 Maritimo 5 2 0 3 -2 6
10 Rio Ave 5 1 3 1 -2 6
11 Famalicao 5 1 3 1 -3 6
12 Belenenses 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Gil Vicente 4 1 2 1 +0 5
14 Pacos Ferreira 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Tondela 5 1 2 2 -4 5
16 Portimonense 5 1 1 3 -3 4
17 Boavista 5 0 3 2 -6 3
18 Farense 5 0 1 4 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guimaraes Sp Braga
André André 🟨
26′
27′
Ricardo Esgaio 0–1
Paulinho
Half-time 0–1
56′
🟨 Paulinho
63′
🔁 André Horta
↦ Iuri Medeiros
67′
🟨 André Castro
Rochinha 🟨
73′
D. Poha 🔁
↦ André André
73′
74′
🔁 Al Musrati
↦ Castro
74′
🔁 Guilherme Schettine
↦ Paulinho
Easah Suliman 🟨
83′
Jorge Fernandes 🟥
83′
83′
🟥 David Carmo
85′
🟥 Fransergio
N. Holm 🔁
↦ Sílvio
86′
Miguel Luís 🔁
↦ Rochinha
87′
88′
🔁 Vítor Tormena
↦ Galeno
88′
🔁 João Novais
↦ Ricardo Horta
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Guimaraes

4-3-3
1 Bruno Varela G
28 Sílvio D
44 Jorge Fernandes D
5 E. Suliman D
60 Z. Ouattara D
11 André André M
24 M. Agu M
10 Ricardo Quaresma F
16 Rochinha M
7 M. Edwards F
9 Bruno Duarte F
Bench (9)
8 D. Poha
86 N. Holm
88 Miguel Luís
19 Pepelu
29 M. Trmal
27 A. Ouattara
22 J. Maddox
26 J. Carls
70 André Almeida

Coach: João Henriques

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus Magalhães G
47 Ricardo Esgaio D
5 Nuno Sequeira D
36 Bruno Viana D
16 David Carmo D
88 Castro M
27 Fransérgio M
45 Iuri Medeiros M
20 Paulinho F
21 Ricardo Horta F
90 Galeno M
Bench (9)
15 André Horta
8 Al Musrati
95 Guilherme Schettine
3 Vítor Tormena
7 João Novais
74 Francisco Moura
10 N. Gaitán
12 Tiago Sá
9 Abel Ruiz

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U
3,33
B ✓
2,50
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Fábio Veríssimo · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.