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Primeira Liga

Referee: Gustavo Correia

Gil Vicente

S U U T T

1–2

Full-time

Guimaraes

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,3

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 10%

20%

Both score Ø 20%

40%

Average goals

1,6

0,8

Scored

0,6

0,4

Conceded

1,0

0,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

21 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gil Vicente 14. · Guimaraes 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	5	5	0	0	+12	15
2	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Porto	6	3	1	2	+6	10
4	Santa Clara	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	Sp Braga	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Rio Ave	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Pacos Ferreira	6	2	2	2	-1	8
8	Moreirense	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Nacional	6	1	4	1	+0	7
10	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Maritimo	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Belenenses	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Famalicao	5	1	3	1	-3	6
14	Gil Vicente	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Tondela	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Portimonense	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	Boavista	5	0	3	2	-6	3
18	Farense	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Moreirense	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Porto	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Pacos Ferreira	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Maritimo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Tondela	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	Nacional	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Belenenses	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Famalicao	3	0	2	1	-4	2
16	Farense	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Santa Clara	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Rio Ave	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Porto	3	1	1	1	+4	4
7	Famalicao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Guimaraes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Nacional	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Boavista	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Portimonense	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Farense	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Gil Vicente	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Moreirense	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.