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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro

Guimaraes

S S U U T

2–2

Full-time

Farense

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Farense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 36%

50%

22%

Points per game

1,7

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

39%

Both score Ø 45%

33%

56%

Average goals

2,2

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

62% Possession 38%

15 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Guimaraes 6. · Farense 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	19	16	3	0	+30	51
2	Porto	19	12	5	2	+22	41
3	Sp Braga	19	13	1	5	+15	40
4	Benfica	19	11	5	3	+16	38
5	Pacos Ferreira	19	10	5	4	+10	35
6	Guimaraes	18	9	4	5	+5	31
7	Santa Clara	19	7	4	8	-2	25
8	Moreirense	19	6	7	6	-5	25
9	Rio Ave	19	5	7	7	-6	22
10	Nacional	19	5	6	8	-6	21
11	Tondela	19	6	3	10	-11	21
12	Portimonense	19	5	4	10	-6	19
13	Belenenses	19	3	9	7	-6	18
14	Maritimo	19	5	2	12	-10	17
15	Farense	18	4	4	10	-7	16
16	Gil Vicente	19	4	4	11	-11	16
17	Boavista	19	2	9	8	-13	15
18	Famalicao	19	3	6	10	-15	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	9	7	2	0	+13	23
2	Porto	10	7	2	1	+12	23
3	Benfica	10	7	2	1	+10	23
4	Sp Braga	9	7	1	1	+8	22
5	Pacos Ferreira	9	6	2	1	+7	20
6	Tondela	10	6	2	2	+3	20
7	Portimonense	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Moreirense	10	3	5	2	-1	14
9	Farense	10	3	3	4	+1	12
10	Rio Ave	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Nacional	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Guimaraes	9	4	0	5	-4	12
13	Belenenses	10	2	5	3	-1	11
14	Gil Vicente	9	2	2	5	-3	8
15	Santa Clara	9	2	2	5	-4	8
16	Maritimo	9	2	2	5	-6	8
17	Famalicao	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	Boavista	9	1	2	6	-10	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	10	9	1	0	+17	28
2	Guimaraes	9	5	4	0	+9	19
3	Porto	9	5	3	1	+10	18
4	Sp Braga	10	6	0	4	+7	18
5	Santa Clara	10	5	2	3	+2	17
6	Benfica	9	4	3	2	+6	15
7	Pacos Ferreira	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	Moreirense	9	3	2	4	-4	11
9	Boavista	10	1	7	2	-3	10
10	Rio Ave	10	2	4	4	-6	10
11	Maritimo	10	3	0	7	-4	9
12	Nacional	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Famalicao	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Gil Vicente	10	2	2	6	-8	8
15	Belenenses	9	1	4	4	-5	7
16	Portimonense	10	1	2	7	-9	5
17	Farense	8	1	1	6	-8	4
18	Tondela	9	0	1	8	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.