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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Lugano
S U U U T
1–1
Full-time
Servette
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Super League · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 29%
26%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
32%
42%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
12 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 4. · Servette 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 19 13 5 1 +19 44
2 Basel 20 9 4 7 +2 31
3 Zurich 20 8 4 8 +4 28
4 Lugano 19 5 11 3 +0 26
5 St. Gallen 19 6 7 6 +0 25
6 Servette 19 6 6 7 -4 24
7 Lausanne 19 6 5 8 -1 23
8 Sion 20 4 9 7 -6 21
9 Luzern 18 5 5 8 +2 20
10 Vaduz 19 3 6 10 -16 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano Servette
Mattia Bottani 🟨
-5′
Numa Lavanchy 🟨
9′
1–0 Asumah Abubakar
J. Sabbatini
18′
Mārcis Ošs 🟨
22′
45′
🟨 Miroslav Stevanović
Half-time 1–0
60′
🟨 Timothé Cognat
67′
🔁 A. Schalk
↦ A. Sauthier
68′
🔁 G. Kyei
↦ K. Koné
M. Čovilo 🔁
↦ S. Lovric
69′
M. Facchinetti 🔁
↦ F. Daprelà
78′
R. Macek 🔁
↦ O. Custodio
78′
A. Gerndt 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
78′
Jonathan Sabbatini 🟨
80′
83′
🔁 S. Rouiller
↦ K. Imeri
J. Ardaiz 🔁
↦ Asumah Abubakar
85′
Roman Macek 🟨
86′
92′
A. Schalk 1–1
T. Valls
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lugano

3-1-4-2
46 N. Baumann G
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy M
25 M. Ošs D
4 Á. Kecskés D
3 Adrià Guerrero M
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
24 S. Lovric M
10 M. Bottani F
17 Asumah Abubakar F
Bench (7)
6 M. Čovilo
91 M. Facchinetti
77 R. Macek
19 A. Gerndt
23 J. Ardaiz
58 S. Osigwe
8 C. Lungoyi

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Servette

4-2-3-1
32 J. Frick G
3 G. Clichy D
2 A. Sauthier D
23 V. Sasso D
24 A. Mendy M
33 N. Vouilloz D
9 M. Stevanović M
15 T. Valls M
8 T. Cognat M
17 K. Imeri M
18 K. Koné F
Bench (7)
10 A. Schalk
25 G. Kyei
4 S. Rouiller
1 J. Kiassumbua
26 M. Holcbecher
19 Y. Severin
12 A. Martial

Coach: A. Geiger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.