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Primeira Liga
Referee: Gustavo Correia
Guimaraes
S S S U U
1–3
Full-time
Rio Ave
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Rio Ave
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 38%
53%
22%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
35%
33%
Both score Ø 31%
29%
33%
Average goals
2,1
1,9
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

63% Possession 37%
15 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 0
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guimaraes 6. · Rio Ave 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 18 15 3 0 +28 48
2 Porto 18 12 4 2 +22 40
3 Benfica 18 11 4 3 +16 37
4 Sp Braga 18 12 1 5 +14 37
5 Pacos Ferreira 18 10 5 3 +12 35
6 Guimaraes 17 9 4 4 +7 31
7 Santa Clara 18 7 4 7 -1 25
8 Moreirense 18 6 6 6 -5 24
9 Nacional 19 5 6 8 -6 21
10 Rio Ave 18 4 7 7 -8 19
11 Belenenses 19 3 9 7 -6 18
12 Tondela 18 5 3 10 -12 18
13 Maritimo 18 5 2 11 -9 17
14 Farense 18 4 4 10 -7 16
15 Gil Vicente 18 4 4 10 -8 16
16 Portimonense 18 4 4 10 -9 16
17 Famalicao 19 3 6 10 -15 15
18 Boavista 18 2 8 8 -13 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guimaraes Rio Ave
23′
Carlos Mané 0–1
Gelson Dala
32′
Rafael Camacho 0–2
Gelson Dala
Half-time 0–2
Ricardo Quaresma 🟨
58′
M. Edwards 🔁
↦ André Almeida
62′
Bruno Duarte 🔁
↦ Rúben Lameiras
62′
66′
🔁 Pedro Amaral
↦ Sávio
66′
🔁 Tarantini
↦ Francisco Geraldes
1–2 Ricardo Quaresma
70′
74′
🔁 Ronan
↦ Gelson Dala
74′
Gelson Dala 1–3
75′
🔁 Guga
↦ Rafael Camacho
79′
🔁 Anderson Cruz
↦ Carlos Mané
Rochinha 🔁
↦ G. Mensah
81′
Jorge Fernandes 🟨
84′
88′
🟨 Ivo Pinto
89′
🟨 Pedro Amaral
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Guimaraes

4-3-3
1 Bruno Varela G
44 Jorge Fernandes D
17 F. Sacko D
14 G. Mensah D
6 A. Mumin D
11 André André M
19 Pepelu M
70 André Almeida M
10 Ricardo Quaresma F
23 Rúben Lameiras F
31 O. Estupiñán F
Bench (9)
7 M. Edwards
9 Bruno Duarte
16 Rochinha
29 M. Trmal
88 Miguel Luís
5 E. Suliman
25 A. Wakaso
60 Z. Ouattara
86 N. Holm

Coach: João Henriques

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
1 P. Kieszek G
25 Ivo Pinto D
33 Aderllan Santos D
36 Sávio D
4 Nélson Monte D
18 Pelé M
5 Filipe Augusto M
11 Francisco Geraldes M
21 Carlos Mané M
7 Gelson Dala F
64 Rafael Camacho M
Bench (9)
24 Pedro Amaral
8 Tarantini
19 Ronan
16 Guga
10 Anderson Cruz
22 Léo
80 Diogo Teixeira
40 R. Meshino
20 Costinha

Coach: Miguel Cardoso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U
3,31
B ✓
3,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,25
U2,5
1,63
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.