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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Benfica

S T S S S

1–1

Full-time

Porto

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,7

1,7

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 69%

67%

70%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

43%

53%

Both score Ø 48%

43%

53%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,9

2,0

Conceded

0,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

5 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 11

3 Offside 4

21 Free kicks against 13

8 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 3. · Porto 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	31	24	7	0	+41	79
2	Porto	30	21	7	2	+34	70
3	Benfica	30	20	6	4	+37	66
4	Sp Braga	31	18	5	8	+19	59
5	Pacos Ferreira	31	14	7	10	+0	49
6	Guimaraes	30	12	5	13	-4	41
7	Santa Clara	30	10	7	13	+2	37
8	Belenenses	31	8	13	10	-6	37
9	Moreirense	31	8	13	10	-9	37
10	Gil Vicente	31	10	5	16	-10	35
11	Tondela	30	10	5	15	-17	35
12	Portimonense	31	9	7	15	-5	34
13	Maritimo	31	10	3	18	-16	33
14	Famalicao	30	7	10	13	-10	31
15	Rio Ave	31	6	13	12	-12	31
16	Boavista	30	6	11	13	-11	29
17	Farense	30	6	9	15	-10	27
18	Nacional	31	6	7	18	-23	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	15	11	4	0	+19	37
2	Porto	15	11	3	1	+17	36
3	Benfica	15	11	2	2	+15	35
4	Sp Braga	16	10	3	3	+11	33
5	Pacos Ferreira	15	10	2	3	+6	32
6	Tondela	15	8	2	5	+0	26
7	Belenenses	16	6	5	5	-1	23
8	Portimonense	15	6	4	5	+4	22
9	Guimaraes	15	7	1	7	-3	22
10	Santa Clara	15	5	5	5	+5	20
11	Moreirense	16	3	10	3	-2	19
12	Rio Ave	16	4	6	6	-3	18
13	Maritimo	16	5	2	9	-11	17
14	Boavista	15	4	3	8	-6	15
15	Gil Vicente	15	4	3	8	-6	15
16	Nacional	15	4	3	8	-8	15
17	Farense	15	3	5	7	-2	14
18	Famalicao	15	2	7	6	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	16	13	3	0	+22	42
2	Porto	15	10	4	1	+17	34
3	Benfica	15	9	4	2	+22	31
4	Sp Braga	15	8	2	5	+8	26
5	Gil Vicente	16	6	2	8	-4	20
6	Guimaraes	15	5	4	6	-1	19
7	Famalicao	15	5	3	7	-1	18
8	Moreirense	15	5	3	7	-7	18
9	Santa Clara	15	5	2	8	-3	17
10	Pacos Ferreira	16	4	5	7	-6	17
11	Maritimo	15	5	1	9	-5	16
12	Boavista	15	2	8	5	-5	14
13	Belenenses	15	2	8	5	-5	14
14	Farense	15	3	4	8	-8	13
15	Rio Ave	15	2	7	6	-9	13
16	Portimonense	16	3	3	10	-9	12
17	Nacional	16	2	4	10	-15	10
18	Tondela	15	2	3	10	-17	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.