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Primeira Liga

Referee: Jorge de Sousa

Benfica

S S S S S

0–2

Full-time

Porto

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 92%

100%

83%

Points per game

3,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,7

3,7

Scored

3,8

3,2

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+2,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

3,5

3,0

Conceded

0,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+3,5

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

6 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 2. · Porto 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	2	0	1	+7	6
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Famalicao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Moreirense	4	1	2	1	+1	5
5	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Portimonense	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Santa Clara	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Gil Vicente	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Aves	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Tondela	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Setubal	3	0	2	1	-4	2
15	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	2	1	-4	2
16	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Maritimo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Aves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Maritimo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Portimonense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Tondela	2	0	2	0	+0	2
6	Moreirense	3	0	2	1	-2	2
7	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Belenenses	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Porto	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Setubal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Aves	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.