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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Oliveira

Portimonense

S T T S S

0–3

Full-time

Porto

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,7

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

33%

75%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

1,1

2,5

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%

7 Shots 23

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Portimonense 6. · Porto 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	12	10	2	0	+22	32
2	Sp Lisbon	12	10	2	0	+15	32
3	Benfica	12	10	1	1	+27	31
4	Sp Braga	12	6	4	2	+6	22
5	Estoril	12	5	6	1	+7	21
6	Portimonense	12	6	2	4	+4	20
7	Guimaraes	12	4	4	4	+2	16
8	Gil Vicente	12	3	5	4	+0	14
9	Arouca	12	3	4	5	-5	13
10	Tondela	12	4	0	8	-6	12
11	Boavista	12	2	5	5	-7	11
12	Pacos Ferreira	12	2	5	5	-7	11
13	Famalicao	12	2	4	6	-4	10
14	Maritimo	12	2	4	6	-5	10
15	Vizela	12	1	7	4	-10	10
16	Moreirense	12	1	6	5	-8	9
17	Belenenses	12	1	5	6	-15	8
18	Santa Clara	12	1	4	7	-16	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	7	6	1	0	+10	19
2	Porto	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	Benfica	5	4	0	1	+9	12
4	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+7	11
5	Guimaraes	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Arouca	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Boavista	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Tondela	6	3	0	3	+0	9
9	Estoril	6	1	4	1	+0	7
10	Vizela	6	1	4	1	+0	7
11	Portimonense	6	2	1	3	-1	7
12	Moreirense	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Maritimo	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Gil Vicente	6	1	2	3	-1	5
16	Belenenses	6	1	2	3	-9	5
17	Santa Clara	6	1	2	3	-9	5
18	Famalicao	6	0	3	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	7	6	1	0	+18	19
2	Porto	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Estoril	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Portimonense	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+5	13
6	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	-1	11
7	Gil Vicente	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Famalicao	6	2	1	3	+1	7
9	Guimaraes	6	1	3	2	-1	6
10	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	2	3	-5	5
11	Maritimo	6	1	1	4	-4	4
12	Tondela	6	1	0	5	-6	3
13	Arouca	6	0	3	3	-6	3
14	Belenenses	6	0	3	3	-6	3
15	Moreirense	6	0	3	3	-7	3
16	Vizela	6	0	3	3	-10	3
17	Santa Clara	6	0	2	4	-7	2
18	Boavista	6	0	2	4	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.