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Serie B
Perugia
S T S U U
1–0
Full-time
Vicenza
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Vicenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 23%
33%
13%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
27%
53%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
0,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
4 Corners 3
21 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Perugia 9. · Vicenza 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brescia 15 9 3 3 +10 30
2 Pisa 15 8 5 2 +10 29
3 Lecce 15 7 7 1 +13 28
4 Benevento 15 7 4 4 +10 25
5 Monza 15 6 7 2 +5 25
6 Ascoli 15 7 4 4 +3 25
7 Frosinone 15 5 9 1 +8 24
8 Cremonese 15 6 5 4 +4 23
9 Perugia 15 5 7 3 +2 22
10 Cittadella 15 6 4 5 +0 22
11 Reggina 15 6 4 5 -2 22
12 Como 15 5 6 4 +3 21
13 Ternana 15 6 3 6 +2 21
14 Parma 15 4 6 5 -2 18
15 Spal 15 4 5 6 +1 17
16 Cosenza 15 4 3 8 -10 15
17 Alessandria 15 4 2 9 -11 14
18 Crotone 15 1 5 9 -13 8
19 Vicenza 15 2 1 12 -15 7
20 Pordenone 15 1 4 10 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,00
U
3,04
B
4,20
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.