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Eredivisie
Referee: R Martens
Groningen
S T U S S
1–1
Full-time
Zwolle
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 18%
29%
7%
Points per game
1,2
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
43%
36%
Both score Ø 47%
57%
36%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,1
0,5
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 25
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 12. · Zwolle 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 15 11 3 1 +46 36
2 Feyenoord 14 10 2 2 +19 32
3 PSV Eindhoven 14 10 1 3 +13 31
4 Utrecht 13 8 2 3 +14 26
5 Cambuur 14 8 0 6 -3 24
6 Twente 14 6 4 4 +2 22
7 Go Ahead Eagles 14 6 2 6 -5 20
8 Nijmegen 14 5 4 5 -3 19
9 Vitesse 12 6 1 5 -8 19
10 Heerenveen 13 5 3 5 -2 18
11 Willem II 15 5 3 7 -12 18
12 Groningen 14 4 5 5 -4 17
13 AZ Alkmaar 12 5 1 6 +3 16
14 Heracles 14 4 2 8 -5 14
15 Waalwijk 14 2 6 6 -8 12
16 Sparta Rotterdam 14 2 4 8 -10 10
17 For Sittard 14 2 3 9 -18 9
18 Zwolle 14 1 2 11 -19 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Zwolle
14′
M. De Wit 0–1
T. van den Belt
29′
🟨 Gervane Kastaneer
Half-time 0–1
57′
🟨 Eliano Reijnders
Neraysho Kasanwirjo 🟨
62′
73′
🔁 S. Lagsir
↦ L. Adžić
0–2 T. van den Belt
own goal
75′
R. Postema 🔁
↦ J. Larsen
80′
P. Abraham 🔁
↦ D. Irandust
81′
W. Dammers 🔁
↦ C. Ngonge
81′
81′
🔁 E. Mbinga
↦ G. Kastaneer
81′
🔁 S. Tedić
↦ T. van den Belt
89′
🟨 Yuta Nakayama
D. van Kaam 🔁
↦ T. Suslov
90′
B. Meijer 🔁
↦ M. Šverko
95′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 P. Leeuwenburgh G
3 B. van Hintum D
5 M. te Wierik D
20 M. Šverko D
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
6 L. Duarte M
10 D. Irandust M
7 T. Suslov M
11 M. El Hankouri M
27 C. Ngonge M
9 J. Larsen F
Bench (9)
29 R. Postema
19 P. Abraham
4 W. Dammers
26 D. van Kaam
40 B. Meijer
30 E. Olsson
14 P. Joosten
16 J. Hoekstra
25 J. de Boer

Coach: D. Buijs

Zwolle

3-4-1-2
1 K. Lamprou G
4 Y. Nakayama D
34 M. De Wit M
15 S. Kersten D
3 S. Voet D
13 R. Strieder M
20 T. van den Belt M
8 D. Huiberts F
7 G. Kastaneer F
11 L. Adžić F
23 E. Reijnders M
Bench (9)
21 S. Lagsir
32 E. Mbinga
9 S. Tedić
16 J. Schendelaar
33 R. van den Berg
40 J. Kesting
18 G. Caschili
27 M. Pabai
45 C. Landu

Coach: D. Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U ✓
3,51
B
4,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,23
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Martens · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.