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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Silva
Maritimo
T S U S T
2–0
Full-time
Vizela
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Vizela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 15/14 matches
Win Ø 17%
20%
14%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
53%
50%
Both score Ø 66%
67%
64%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
11 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
18 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Maritimo 10. · Vizela 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 15 13 2 0 +30 41
2 Sp Lisbon 15 13 2 0 +22 41
3 Benfica 15 12 1 2 +34 37
4 Sp Braga 15 8 4 3 +8 28
5 Estoril 15 6 7 2 +6 25
6 Portimonense 15 7 3 5 +2 24
7 Gil Vicente 16 6 5 5 +5 23
8 Guimaraes 15 6 4 5 +5 22
9 Boavista 15 3 6 6 -8 15
10 Maritimo 15 3 5 7 -8 14
11 Pacos Ferreira 15 3 5 7 -8 14
12 Arouca 15 3 5 7 -9 14
13 Vizela 14 2 7 5 -11 13
14 Santa Clara 15 3 4 8 -17 13
15 Tondela 15 4 0 11 -13 12
16 Famalicao 15 2 5 8 -11 11
17 Moreirense 14 1 6 7 -10 9
18 Belenenses 14 1 5 8 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Maritimo Vizela
Ivan Rossi 🟨
25′
35′
🟨 Richard Ofori
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟥 Nuno Moreira
46′
🔁 F. Cann
↦ A. Méndez
50′
🟨 Bruno Wilson
1–0 J. Tagueu
54′
55′
🟨 Koffi Kouao
61′
🔁 Kiki Afonso
↦ R. Ofori
Henrique 🔁
↦ Clésio
64′
2–0 R. Guitane
72′
Filipe Cardoso 🔁
↦ I. Rossi
74′
74′
🔁 K. Zohi
↦ Kiko Bondoso
Matheus Costa 🟨
82′
Léo Andrade 🔁
↦ André Teles
83′
André Vidigal 🔁
↦ R. Guitane
84′
Miguel Sousa 🔁
↦ J. Tagueu
84′
89′
🔁 A. Alvarado
↦ Cassiano
89′
🔁 H. Zagbayou
↦ Samú
90′
🟨 Kevin Zohi
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Maritimo

4-3-3
48 Paulo Victor G
5 Zainadine Júnior D
2 Cláudio Winck D
94 Vítor Costa D
4 Matheus Costa D
15 I. Rossi M
44 André Teles M
24 Clésio F
95 J. Tagueu F
9 A. Alipour F
8 R. Guitane M
Bench (9)
93 Henrique
6 Filipe Cardoso
66 Léo Andrade
7 André Vidigal
36 Miguel Sousa
34 J. Owusu
1 Miguel Silva
21 Jorge Sáenz
3 M. Mosquera

Coach: Vasco Seabra

Vizela

4-3-3
1 Pedro Silva G
37 R. Ofori D
3 Bruno Wilson D
10 Kiko Bondoso F
39 K. Kouao D
25 M. Aidara D
17 Marcos Paulo M
20 Samú M
19 A. Méndez M
79 Nuno Moreira F
9 Cassiano F
Bench (9)
99 F. Cann
24 Kiki Afonso
22 K. Zohi
70 A. Alvarado
13 H. Zagbayou
82 Tomás Silva
87 Charles
14 Igor Julião
8 Raphael Guzzo

Coach: Álvaro Pacheco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,06
U
3,13
B
2,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hugo Silva · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
32,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,56 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.