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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fábio Veríssimo
Maritimo
T T T S U
4–1
Full-time
Santa Clara
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Santa Clara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 15%
15%
15%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
46%
62%
Both score Ø 58%
62%
54%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%
9 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Maritimo 12. · Santa Clara 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 13 11 2 0 +25 35
2 Sp Lisbon 13 11 2 0 +17 35
3 Benfica 13 10 1 2 +25 31
4 Sp Braga 13 7 4 2 +8 25
5 Estoril 13 5 6 2 +5 21
6 Gil Vicente 14 5 5 4 +5 20
7 Portimonense 13 6 2 5 +1 20
8 Guimaraes 13 5 4 4 +3 19
9 Arouca 13 3 4 6 -6 13
10 Tondela 12 4 0 8 -6 12
11 Boavista 13 2 6 5 -7 12
12 Maritimo 13 2 5 6 -5 11
13 Pacos Ferreira 14 2 5 7 -9 11
14 Famalicao 13 2 4 7 -8 10
15 Vizela 12 1 7 4 -10 10
16 Santa Clara 13 2 4 7 -15 10
17 Moreirense 12 1 6 5 -8 9
18 Belenenses 12 1 5 6 -15 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Maritimo Santa Clara
1′
Cryzan 0–1
Rui Costa
Cláudio Winck ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
15′
1–1 J. Tagueu
18′
2–1 Henrique
S. Beltrame
38′
Half-time 2–1
48′
🟨 Nené
André Vidigal 🔁
↦ Henrique
51′
3–1 Matheus Costa
S. Beltrame
60′
I. Rossi 🔁
↦ Diogo Mendes
63′
A. Alipour 🔁
↦ J. Tagueu
63′
64′
🔁 H. Keyta
↦ Rui Costa
Léo 🟨
66′
68′
🟨 Mansur
4–1 R. Guitane
69′
81′
🔁 Jean Patric
↦ H. Morita
81′
🔁 M. Bouldini
↦ Cryzan
Pedro Pelágio 🔁
↦ Edgar Costa
83′
Clésio 🔁
↦ R. Guitane
83′
89′
🔁 P. Sagna
↦ Rafael Ramos
89′
🔁 Anderson Carvalho
↦ Nené
92′
🟨 Anderson Carvalho
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Maritimo

4-3-3
48 Paulo Victor G
2 Cláudio Winck D
94 Vítor Costa D
4 Matheus Costa D
66 Léo Andrade D
10 S. Beltrame M
16 Diogo Mendes M
12 Edgar Costa M
95 J. Tagueu F
93 Henrique F
8 R. Guitane F
Bench (9)
7 André Vidigal
15 I. Rossi
9 A. Alipour
60 Pedro Pelágio
24 Clésio
23 Rúben Macedo
45 Fábio China
21 Jorge Sáenz
96 João Teixeira

Coach: Vasco Seabra

Santa Clara

4-2-3-1
99 Marco Pereira G
6 Mansur D
3 M. Villanueva D
2 Rafael Ramos D
4 K. Boateng D
21 Nené M
10 Lincoln M
25 H. Morita M
98 Ricardinho
23 Cryzan M
77 Rui Costa F
Bench (9)
76 H. Keyta
26 Jean Patric
9 M. Bouldini
95 P. Sagna
8 Anderson Carvalho
1 Ricardo Fernandes
19 Júlio Romão
16 Paulo Henrique
5 João Afonso

Coach: Nuno Campos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,53
U
3,08
B
2,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,48
U2,5
1,54
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Fábio Veríssimo · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.