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Primeira Liga

Referee: António Nobre

Benfica

U S S T S

7–1

Full-time

Maritimo

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Maritimo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,3

3,5

Scored

3,3

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 50%

79%

21%

Points per game

2,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

64%

50%

Both score Ø 61%

57%

64%

Average goals

3,6

2,6

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

60% Possession 40%

17 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

20 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 3. · Maritimo 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	15	13	2	0	+22	41
2	Porto	14	12	2	0	+26	38
3	Benfica	14	11	1	2	+28	34
4	Sp Braga	14	7	4	3	+7	25
5	Estoril	15	6	7	2	+6	25
6	Portimonense	15	7	3	5	+2	24
7	Guimaraes	15	6	4	5	+5	22
8	Gil Vicente	15	5	5	5	+2	20
9	Maritimo	14	3	5	6	-2	14
10	Pacos Ferreira	15	3	5	7	-8	14
11	Arouca	15	3	5	7	-9	14
12	Vizela	13	2	7	4	-7	13
13	Santa Clara	15	3	4	8	-17	13
14	Boavista	14	2	6	6	-9	12
15	Tondela	14	4	0	10	-10	12
16	Famalicao	15	2	5	8	-11	11
17	Moreirense	13	1	6	6	-9	9
18	Belenenses	13	1	5	7	-16	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	Porto	7	7	0	0	+16	21
3	Sp Braga	7	4	2	1	+9	14
4	Guimaraes	7	4	1	2	+6	13
5	Benfica	6	4	0	2	+7	12
6	Santa Clara	8	3	2	3	-7	11
7	Boavista	7	2	4	1	+2	10
8	Arouca	7	3	1	3	-2	10
9	Maritimo	7	2	3	2	+2	9
10	Tondela	7	3	0	4	-1	9
11	Gil Vicente	8	2	2	4	+0	8
12	Estoril	7	1	5	1	+0	8
13	Portimonense	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Vizela	6	1	4	1	+0	7
15	Moreirense	7	1	3	3	-2	6
16	Pacos Ferreira	8	1	3	4	-4	6
17	Belenenses	7	1	2	4	-10	5
18	Famalicao	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	8	7	1	0	+21	22
2	Sp Lisbon	7	6	1	0	+10	19
3	Porto	7	5	2	0	+10	17
4	Estoril	8	5	2	1	+6	17
5	Portimonense	7	5	1	1	+6	16
6	Gil Vicente	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	Sp Braga	7	3	2	2	-2	11
8	Guimaraes	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Famalicao	8	2	2	4	-3	8
10	Pacos Ferreira	7	2	2	3	-4	8
11	Vizela	7	1	3	3	-7	6
12	Maritimo	7	1	2	4	-4	5
13	Arouca	8	0	4	4	-7	4
14	Belenenses	6	0	3	3	-6	3
15	Moreirense	6	0	3	3	-7	3
16	Tondela	7	1	0	6	-9	3
17	Santa Clara	7	0	2	5	-10	2
18	Boavista	7	0	2	5	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.