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Primeira Liga

Referee: Ricardo Baixinho

Rio Ave

T S S U U

0–1

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,0

2,5

Scored

0,7

0,3

Conceded

0,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

40%

47%

Both score Ø 44%

47%

40%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,1

0,5

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%

16 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

22 Free kicks against 16

5 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rio Ave 9. · Pacos Ferreira 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	15	13	1	1	+28	40
2	Sp Braga	15	11	1	3	+24	34
3	Porto	15	10	3	2	+26	33
4	Sp Lisbon	15	9	1	5	+13	28
5	Casa Pia	15	8	3	4	+4	27
6	Guimaraes	15	7	3	5	-2	24
7	Arouca	15	6	4	5	-7	22
8	Vizela	16	6	3	7	+3	21
9	Rio Ave	15	5	5	5	-2	20
10	Portimonense	16	6	2	8	-4	20
11	Chaves	15	5	5	5	-5	20
12	Boavista	14	6	2	6	-8	20
13	Famalicao	15	5	2	8	-4	17
14	Estoril	14	4	4	6	-6	16
15	Santa Clara	16	3	5	8	-7	14
16	Gil Vicente	15	3	3	9	-10	12
17	Maritimo	16	2	4	10	-21	10
18	Pacos Ferreira	15	0	3	12	-22	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	8	8	0	0	+21	24
2	Porto	7	6	0	1	+20	18
3	Sp Lisbon	7	6	0	1	+15	18
4	Guimaraes	8	5	2	1	+4	17
5	Boavista	8	4	2	2	-2	14
6	Sp Braga	7	4	1	2	+9	13
7	Rio Ave	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Arouca	8	4	1	3	-1	13
9	Famalicao	7	4	0	3	+2	12
10	Casa Pia	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Portimonense	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Vizela	8	3	1	4	+3	10
13	Santa Clara	8	2	3	3	-3	9
14	Gil Vicente	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Chaves	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Maritimo	7	1	2	4	-3	5
17	Estoril	6	1	2	3	-6	5
18	Pacos Ferreira	8	0	2	6	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	8	7	0	1	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+7	16
3	Casa Pia	7	5	1	1	+3	16
4	Porto	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	Chaves	8	4	1	3	-4	13
6	Vizela	8	3	2	3	+0	11
7	Estoril	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Sp Lisbon	8	3	1	4	-2	10
9	Portimonense	7	3	0	4	-2	9
10	Arouca	7	2	3	2	-6	9
11	Rio Ave	8	1	4	3	-5	7
12	Guimaraes	7	2	1	4	-6	7
13	Boavista	6	2	0	4	-6	6
14	Santa Clara	8	1	2	5	-4	5
15	Famalicao	8	1	2	5	-6	5
16	Maritimo	9	1	2	6	-18	5
17	Gil Vicente	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	Pacos Ferreira	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.