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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Ferreira

Boavista

T T S T U

4–2

Full-time

Portimonense

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 16/17 matches

Win Ø 37%

38%

35%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

41%

Both score Ø 40%

50%

29%

Average goals

2,6

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

18 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Boavista 11. · Portimonense 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	18	15	2	1	+33	47
2	Sp Braga	17	13	1	3	+26	40
3	Porto	17	12	3	2	+30	39
4	Sp Lisbon	17	10	2	5	+14	32
5	Casa Pia	18	9	3	6	+1	30
6	Arouca	17	7	5	5	-3	26
7	Vizela	18	7	3	8	+4	24
8	Guimaraes	17	7	3	7	-4	24
9	Chaves	17	5	7	5	-5	22
10	Rio Ave	18	5	6	7	-5	21
11	Boavista	16	6	3	7	-9	21
12	Portimonense	17	6	2	9	-8	20
13	Estoril	16	5	4	7	-5	19
14	Gil Vicente	17	5	3	9	-7	18
15	Famalicao	17	5	3	9	-7	18
16	Santa Clara	18	3	5	10	-11	14
17	Maritimo	17	3	4	10	-20	13
18	Pacos Ferreira	18	1	3	14	-24	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	9	8	1	0	+21	25
2	Porto	8	7	0	1	+23	21
3	Sp Lisbon	8	7	0	1	+16	21
4	Guimaraes	9	5	2	2	+3	17
5	Sp Braga	8	5	1	2	+10	16
6	Arouca	9	5	1	3	+3	16
7	Boavista	9	4	3	2	-2	15
8	Casa Pia	10	4	2	4	+0	14
9	Vizela	9	4	1	4	+5	13
10	Famalicao	8	4	1	3	+2	13
11	Rio Ave	8	4	1	3	+2	13
12	Portimonense	9	3	2	4	-2	11
13	Gil Vicente	9	3	2	4	-2	11
14	Santa Clara	9	2	3	4	-6	9
15	Chaves	8	1	5	2	-1	8
16	Maritimo	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Estoril	7	2	2	3	-4	8
18	Pacos Ferreira	10	0	2	8	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	9	8	0	1	+16	24
2	Benfica	9	7	1	1	+12	22
3	Porto	9	5	3	1	+7	18
4	Casa Pia	8	5	1	2	+1	16
5	Chaves	9	4	2	3	-4	14
6	Vizela	9	3	2	4	-1	11
7	Estoril	9	3	2	4	-1	11
8	Sp Lisbon	9	3	2	4	-2	11
9	Arouca	8	2	4	2	-6	10
10	Portimonense	8	3	0	5	-6	9
11	Rio Ave	10	1	5	4	-7	8
12	Gil Vicente	8	2	1	5	-5	7
13	Guimaraes	8	2	1	5	-7	7
14	Boavista	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Santa Clara	9	1	2	6	-5	5
16	Famalicao	9	1	2	6	-9	5
17	Maritimo	9	1	2	6	-18	5
18	Pacos Ferreira	8	1	1	6	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.