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Primeira Liga
Referee: Ricardo Baixinho
Gil Vicente
S S T U S
1–1
Full-time
Vizela
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Vizela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
30%
35%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
55%
35%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 2
3 Offside 7
16 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gil Vicente 13. · Vizela 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 20 17 2 1 +39 53
2 Porto 20 15 3 2 +35 48
3 Sp Braga 20 15 1 4 +25 46
4 Sp Lisbon 20 12 2 6 +19 38
5 Guimaraes 20 10 3 7 -1 33
6 Casa Pia 20 9 4 7 -2 31
7 Arouca 20 8 6 6 -5 30
8 Chaves 20 6 8 6 -5 26
9 Boavista 20 7 5 8 -8 26
10 Vizela 20 7 4 9 +2 25
11 Rio Ave 20 6 6 8 -4 24
12 Portimonense 20 7 2 11 -10 23
13 Gil Vicente 20 6 4 10 -7 22
14 Estoril 20 6 4 10 -8 22
15 Famalicao 20 6 3 11 -10 21
16 Santa Clara 20 3 6 11 -12 15
17 Maritimo 20 3 4 13 -24 13
18 Pacos Ferreira 20 2 3 15 -24 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gil Vicente Vizela
-5′
🟨 Luis Felipe
20′
🟨 Nuno Moreira
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Kiki Afonso
1–0 Vitor Carvalho
55′
62′
🔁 M. Lacava
↦ Nuno Moreira
62′
🔁 A. Méndez
↦ Osama Rashid
64′
🔁 Tomás Silva
↦ Igor Julião
Pedro Tiba 🔁
↦ K. Fujimoto
69′
Adrián Marín 🟨
75′
B. Aouacheria 🔁
↦ J. Boselli
78′
79′
🔁 Pedro Ortiz
↦ Claudemir
79′
🔁 F. Etim
↦ Ivanildo Fernandes
Tomás Araújo 🟨
82′
Vítor Carvalho 🟨
86′
87′
Kiki 1–1
Marlon 🔁
↦ Murilo
90′
Vítor Carvalho 🟨
92′
Vítor Carvalho 🟥
92′
95′
🟨 Alex Méndez
Bilel Aouacheria 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gil Vicente

4-2-3-1
42 Andrew G
15 Carraça D
72 Tomás Araújo D
26 Rúben Fernandes D
19 Adrián Marín D
21 Vitor Carvalho M
8 G. Aburjania M
77 Murilo M
10 K. Fujimoto M
20 J. Boselli M
9 Fran Navarro F
Bench (9)
25 Pedro Tiba
7 B. Aouacheria
11 Marlon
12 Brian Araújo
14 R. Wilson
13 Gabriel Pereira
2 Zé Carlos
17 Kevin Villodres
4 Manuel Lopes

Coach: Daniel Sousa

Vizela

3-4-3
97 F. Buntić G
3 Bruno Wilson D
5 Anderson D
4 Ivanildo Fernandes D
14 Igor Julião M
6 Claudemir M
23 Osama Rashid M
24 Kiki M
79 Nuno Moreira F
9 M. Osmajić F
10 Kiko Bondoso F
Bench (9)
17 M. Lacava
19 A. Méndez
82 Tomás Silva
34 Pedro Ortiz
90 F. Etim
22 K. Zohi
11 A. Schmidt
13 Luiz Felipe
16 Matheus Pereira

Coach: Tulipa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,45
U ✓
3,40
B
2,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo Baixinho · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.