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Pro League

Referee: W De Cremer

Mechelen

S T S U T

2–2

Full-time

Genk

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,7

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,8

This season — Pro League · 25/22 matches

Win Ø 57%

28%

86%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

68%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

55%

Average goals

3,3

3,4

Scored

1,4

2,6

Conceded

1,9

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 15. · Genk 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	22	19	2	1	+42	59
2	St. Gilloise	21	17	3	1	+28	54
3	Antwerp	20	14	3	3	+22	45
4	Anderlecht	26	12	4	10	+11	40
5	Club Brugge	20	11	5	4	+16	38
6	St Truiden	26	10	8	8	-1	38
7	Charleroi	26	11	4	11	+0	37
8	Gent	20	11	3	6	+16	36
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	27	9	8	10	+6	35
10	Cercle Brugge	20	8	7	5	+4	31
11	Kortrijk	27	9	4	14	-15	31
12	Standard	21	9	3	9	-1	30
13	Eupen	27	8	4	15	-18	28
14	Westerlo	21	7	6	8	+1	27
15	Mechelen	25	7	5	13	-12	26
16	Waregem	26	6	6	14	-20	24
17	Oostende	27	5	5	17	-29	20
18	Seraing	25	5	3	17	-25	18
19	Seraing United	25	5	3	17	-25	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	12	11	1	0	+26	34
2	Antwerp	10	9	1	0	+18	28
3	St. Gilloise	9	8	1	0	+14	25
4	Mechelen	14	6	4	4	+3	22
5	Gent	10	6	2	2	+8	20
6	Anderlecht	14	6	2	6	+5	20
7	Club Brugge	10	5	4	1	+11	19
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	5	4	4	+6	19
9	Charleroi	13	6	1	6	+3	19
10	Cercle Brugge	9	4	4	1	+7	16
11	Standard	11	5	1	5	+2	16
12	Westerlo	11	4	3	4	+7	15
13	St Truiden	12	4	3	5	-3	15
14	Waregem	14	4	3	7	-10	15
15	Kortrijk	13	4	3	6	-10	15
16	Eupen	14	4	2	8	-8	14
17	Oostende	13	4	0	9	-12	12
18	Seraing	12	1	2	9	-12	5
19	Seraing United	12	1	2	9	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	12	9	2	1	+14	29
2	Genk	10	8	1	1	+16	25
3	St Truiden	14	6	5	3	+2	23
4	Anderlecht	12	6	2	4	+6	20
5	Club Brugge	10	6	1	3	+5	19
6	Charleroi	13	5	3	5	-3	18
7	Antwerp	10	5	2	3	+4	17
8	Gent	10	5	1	4	+8	16
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	4	4	6	+0	16
10	Kortrijk	14	5	1	8	-5	16
11	Cercle Brugge	11	4	3	4	-3	15
12	Standard	10	4	2	4	-3	14
13	Eupen	13	4	2	7	-10	14
14	Seraing	13	4	1	8	-13	13
15	Seraing United	13	4	1	8	-13	13
16	Westerlo	10	3	3	4	-6	12
17	Waregem	12	2	3	7	-10	9
18	Oostende	14	1	5	8	-17	8
19	Mechelen	11	1	1	9	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.