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2. Bundesliga

Referee: S Jablonski

Paderborn

T S T S S

1–0

Full-time

Kaiserslautern

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Kaiserslautern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 50%

55%

45%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

75%

60%

Both score Ø 58%

50%

65%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

13 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 6

8 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 4. · Kaiserslautern 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	20	13	6	1	+19	45
2	Hamburg	20	13	2	5	+14	41
3	Heidenheim	20	10	7	3	+13	37
4	Paderborn	20	11	2	7	+18	35
5	Kaiserslautern	20	9	8	3	+8	35
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	20	10	2	8	+6	32
7	Hannover	20	8	4	8	+2	28
8	Holstein Kiel	20	7	7	6	+1	28
9	St Pauli	20	6	8	6	+2	26
10	Hansa Rostock	20	7	3	10	-9	24
11	Greuther Furth	20	5	8	7	-5	23
12	Karlsruhe	20	6	4	10	-4	22
13	Nurnberg	20	6	4	10	-10	22
14	Braunschweig	20	5	6	9	-9	21
15	Magdeburg	20	6	3	11	-13	21
16	Bielefeld	20	6	2	12	-5	20
17	Sandhausen	20	5	4	11	-13	19
18	Regensburg	20	5	4	11	-15	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	11	7	4	0	+12	25
2	Heidenheim	10	7	3	0	+13	24
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	7	1	2	+12	22
4	Paderborn	10	7	0	3	+18	21
5	St Pauli	10	5	5	0	+10	20
6	Hamburg	10	6	1	3	+7	19
7	Hannover	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Greuther Furth	10	4	5	1	+2	17
9	Kaiserslautern	10	4	4	2	+1	16
10	Holstein Kiel	10	4	3	3	+4	15
11	Braunschweig	10	4	2	4	+1	14
12	Karlsruhe	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Nurnberg	10	4	1	5	-3	13
14	Regensburg	10	3	4	3	-6	13
15	Bielefeld	10	4	0	6	+0	12
16	Sandhausen	9	3	2	4	-4	11
17	Hansa Rostock	10	3	1	6	-5	10
18	Magdeburg	9	2	2	5	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	10	7	1	2	+7	22
2	Darmstadt	9	6	2	1	+7	20
3	Kaiserslautern	10	5	4	1	+7	19
4	Paderborn	10	4	2	4	+0	14
5	Hansa Rostock	10	4	2	4	-4	14
6	Heidenheim	10	3	4	3	+0	13
7	Holstein Kiel	10	3	4	3	-3	13
8	Magdeburg	11	4	1	6	-6	13
9	Hannover	10	3	2	5	-1	11
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	3	1	6	-6	10
11	Nurnberg	10	2	3	5	-7	9
12	Karlsruhe	9	2	2	5	-3	8
13	Bielefeld	10	2	2	6	-5	8
14	Sandhausen	11	2	2	7	-9	8
15	Braunschweig	10	1	4	5	-10	7
16	Greuther Furth	10	1	3	6	-7	6
17	St Pauli	10	1	3	6	-8	6
18	Regensburg	10	2	0	8	-9	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.