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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Kwiatkowski

Cracovia

S T S T U

2–1

Full-time

Stal Mielec

S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,2

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 28%

20%

35%

Both score Ø 28%

25%

30%

Average goals

2,0

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

16 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cracovia 6. · Stal Mielec 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	20	14	4	2	+24	46
2	Legia	20	11	6	3	+7	39
3	Lech Poznan	20	10	6	4	+7	36
4	Widzew Lodz	20	9	5	6	+5	32
5	Pogon Szczecin	20	8	6	6	+0	30
6	Cracovia	20	8	5	7	+7	29
7	Stal Mielec	20	8	5	7	+2	29
8	Wisla Plock	19	8	4	7	+3	28
9	Radomiak Radom	20	8	4	8	-1	28
10	Warta Poznan	19	7	6	6	+2	27
11	Slask Wroclaw	20	6	7	7	-6	25
12	Jagiellonia	20	5	8	7	+1	23
13	Gornik Zabrze	20	5	7	8	-4	22
14	Lechia Gdansk	20	6	4	10	-11	22
15	Piast Gliwice	20	5	5	10	-3	20
16	Zaglebie	20	5	5	10	-14	20
17	Korona Kielce	20	4	5	11	-9	17
18	Legnica	20	3	6	11	-10	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	10	9	1	0	+19	28
2	Legia	10	7	3	0	+9	24
3	Wisla Plock	9	6	1	2	+8	19
4	Cracovia	10	5	2	3	+7	17
5	Jagiellonia	10	5	1	4	+5	16
6	Stal Mielec	10	4	4	2	+5	16
7	Lech Poznan	10	5	1	4	+0	16
8	Widzew Lodz	10	4	3	3	+3	15
9	Pogon Szczecin	9	4	3	2	+1	15
10	Slask Wroclaw	11	3	5	3	-3	14
11	Radomiak Radom	10	4	1	5	-1	13
12	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	3	4	-6	12
13	Legnica	10	2	4	4	-4	10
14	Gornik Zabrze	11	2	4	5	-5	10
15	Piast Gliwice	9	2	2	5	-1	8
16	Korona Kielce	9	2	2	5	-3	8
17	Warta Poznan	10	1	5	4	-5	8
18	Zaglebie	11	1	4	6	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	10	5	5	0	+7	20
2	Warta Poznan	9	6	1	2	+7	19
3	Rakow	10	5	3	2	+5	18
4	Widzew Lodz	10	5	2	3	+2	17
5	Radomiak Radom	10	4	3	3	+0	15
6	Pogon Szczecin	11	4	3	4	-1	15
7	Legia	10	4	3	3	-2	15
8	Stal Mielec	10	4	1	5	-3	13
9	Zaglebie	9	4	1	4	-5	13
10	Gornik Zabrze	9	3	3	3	+1	12
11	Cracovia	10	3	3	4	+0	12
12	Piast Gliwice	11	3	3	5	-2	12
13	Slask Wroclaw	9	3	2	4	-3	11
14	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	1	6	-5	10
15	Wisla Plock	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Korona Kielce	11	2	3	6	-6	9
17	Jagiellonia	10	0	7	3	-4	7
18	Legnica	10	1	2	7	-6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.