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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Oliveira

Estoril

T S T U S

0–2

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 25%

25%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

36% Possession 64%

5 Shots 18

0 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Estoril 5. · Sp Lisbon 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+14	10
3	Porto	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	Portimonense	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Estoril	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Chaves	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Casa Pia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Guimaraes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Boavista	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Arouca	4	2	0	2	-8	6
11	Gil Vicente	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Vizela	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Sp Lisbon	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Rio Ave	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Famalicao	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Santa Clara	4	0	1	3	-3	1
17	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	0	4	-8	0
18	Maritimo	4	0	0	4	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Porto	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Estoril	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Casa Pia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Boavista	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Famalicao	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-5	3
14	Vizela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Chaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Portimonense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Chaves	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Casa Pia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Vizela	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Estoril	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Porto	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Boavista	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Gil Vicente	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Sp Lisbon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Santa Clara	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.