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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hélder Malheiro
Portimonense
U T T T S
0–2
Full-time
Gil Vicente
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Primeira Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
24%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
53%
59%
Both score Ø 65%
65%
65%
Average goals
3,2
3,4
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
2,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,18 xG 1,53
46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 15
0 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Portimonense 13. · Gil Vicente 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 18 15 1 2 +26 +21.1 46
2 Benfica 18 14 3 1 +26 +22.4 45
3 Porto 18 13 2 3 +18 +12.1 41
4 Sp Braga 18 11 3 4 +16 +10.9 36
5 Guimaraes 17 10 3 4 +9 +2.7 33
6 Moreirense 18 8 5 5 +1 -0.5 29
7 Farense 18 7 3 8 +2 -6.4 24
8 Famalicao 18 5 7 6 -4 -4.7 22
9 Boavista 18 5 5 8 -7 -11.2 20
10 Arouca 18 5 4 9 -1 -2.1 19
11 Casa Pia 18 5 4 9 -7 -4.1 19
12 Estrela 17 4 6 7 -6 -3.7 18
13 Portimonense 17 5 3 9 -18 -9.2 18
14 Estoril 18 5 2 11 -2 -9.1 17
15 Gil Vicente 17 4 4 9 -4 -7.5 16
16 Rio Ave 17 3 6 8 -9 +3.4 15
17 Vizela 18 2 7 9 -14 -4.4 13
18 Chaves 17 3 2 12 -26 -9.7 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Portimonense Gil Vicente
42′
Murilo 0–1
M. Dominguez
Half-time 0–1
Midana Cassamá 🔁
↦ Dener
55′
Hildeberto Pereira 🔁
↦ R. Carrillo
55′
58′
🟨 Mory Gbane
65′
🔁 Leonardo Buta
↦ Kiko Vilas Boas
Luan 🔁
↦ Midana Cassamá
68′
Hildeberto Pereira 🟨
69′
81′
Félix Correia 0–2
K. Fujimoto
85′
🔁 A. Alipour
↦ Félix Correia
Helio Varela 🟨
86′
Guga 🔁
↦ Igor Formiga
89′
Zinho 🔁
↦ Hélio Varela
89′
Carlinhos 🟨
94′
94′
🔁 J. Castillo
↦ M. Dominguez
94′
🔁 T. Touré
↦ K. Fujimoto
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Portimonense

4-2-3-1
32 Kosuke Nakamura G
33 Igor Formiga D
76 Alcobia D
22 Filipe Relvas D
18 Gonçalo Costa D
13 Dener M
25 Lucas Ventura M
7 S. Jasper M
11 Carlinhos M
77 Hélio Varela M
19 R. Carrillo F
Bench (9)
85 Midana Cassamá
10 Hildeberto Pereira
28 Luan
27 Guga
99 Zinho
14 M. Seck
6 Ricardo Sousa
12 Vinícius
20 Estrela

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Gil Vicente

4-2-3-1
42 Andrew G
2 Zé Carlos D
35 Felipe Silva D
26 Rúben Fernandes D
5 Kiko Vilas Boas D
24 M. Gbane M
76 Martim Neto M
8 M. Dominguez M
10 K. Fujimoto M
77 Murilo M
70 Félix Correia F
Bench (9)
23 Leonardo Buta
9 A. Alipour
6 J. Castillo
7 T. Touré
14 R. Wilson
99 Marlon Maranhão
1 Vinícius Dias
4 Né Lopes
78 Miro

Coach: Vítor Campelos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,50
U
3,31
B ✓
2,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hélder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.