Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Portimonense
Gil Vicente
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sp Lisbon
|
18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | +26 | +21.1 | 46 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | +26 | +22.4 | 45 |
| 3 |
Porto
|
18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | +18 | +12.1 | 41 |
| 4 |
Sp Braga
|
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | +16 | +10.9 | 36 |
| 5 |
Guimaraes
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | +9 | +2.7 | 33 |
| 6 |
Moreirense
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +1 | -0.5 | 29 |
| 7 |
Farense
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | +2 | -6.4 | 24 |
| 8 |
Famalicao
|
18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -4 | -4.7 | 22 |
| 9 |
Boavista
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -7 | -11.2 | 20 |
| 10 |
Arouca
|
18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -1 | -2.1 | 19 |
| 11 |
Casa Pia
|
18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -7 | -4.1 | 19 |
| 12 |
Estrela
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -6 | -3.7 | 18 |
| 13 |
Portimonense
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -18 | -9.2 | 18 |
| 14 |
Estoril
|
18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -2 | -9.1 | 17 |
| 15 |
Gil Vicente
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -4 | -7.5 | 16 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -9 | +3.4 | 15 |
| 17 |
Vizela
|
18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -14 | -4.4 | 13 |
| 18 |
Chaves
|
17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -26 | -9.7 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Filipe Relvas
D
Gonçalo Costa
D
S. Jasper
M
Coach: Paulo Sérgio
Felipe Silva
D
Rúben Fernandes
D
M. Gbane
M
Martim Neto
M
M. Dominguez
M
K. Fujimoto
M
Murilo
M
Félix Correia
F
Coach: Vítor Campelos
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Portimonense
Farense
Rio Ave
Portimonense
Portimonense
Sp Lisbon
Moreirense
Portimonense
Portimonense
Famalicao
Hélder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.