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Primeira Liga
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
Gil Vicente
T T S T T
1–2
Full-time
Portimonense
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Portimonense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
18%
45%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
45%
27%
Both score Ø 32%
45%
18%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
19 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gil Vicente 16. · Portimonense 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 11 10 1 0 +24 31
2 Sp Braga 11 8 1 2 +17 25
3 Porto 11 7 2 2 +15 23
4 Guimaraes 11 6 2 3 +3 20
5 Casa Pia 11 6 2 3 +3 20
6 Sp Lisbon 11 6 1 4 +7 19
7 Boavista 11 5 2 4 -5 17
8 Estoril 11 4 4 3 +2 16
9 Portimonense 11 5 1 5 -2 16
10 Arouca 11 4 4 3 -5 16
11 Chaves 11 4 3 4 -4 15
12 Vizela 11 3 3 5 -3 12
13 Rio Ave 11 3 3 5 -4 12
14 Famalicao 11 3 1 7 -6 10
15 Santa Clara 11 2 3 6 -4 9
16 Gil Vicente 11 2 3 6 -7 9
17 Maritimo 11 1 2 8 -18 5
18 Pacos Ferreira 11 0 2 9 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gil Vicente Portimonense
12′
M. Diaby 0–1
Paulo Estrela
1–1 Fran Navarro
B. Aouacheria
27′
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Luquinha
Pedro Tiba 🟨
60′
Matheus Bueno 🔁
↦ Pedro Tiba
70′
71′
🔁 Ricardo Matos
↦ Yago Cariello
Kevin Villodres 🔁
↦ B. Aouacheria
75′
75′
🔁 Rui Gomes
↦ Anderson Oliveira
78′
Ricardo Matos 1–2
Rui Gomes
G. Aburjania 🔁
↦ K. Fujimoto
85′
A. Alipourghara 🔁
↦ Vitor Carvalho
85′
85′
🔁 Ewerton
↦ Luquinha
85′
🔁 Henrique Jocú
↦ Paulo Estrela
Giorgi Aburjania 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Gil Vicente

4-3-3
1 S. Kritsyuk G
15 Carraça D
3 Lucas Cunha D
26 Rúben Fernandes D
19 Adrián Marín D
10 K. Fujimoto M
21 Vitor Carvalho M
25 Pedro Tiba M
7 B. Aouacheria F
9 Fran Navarro F
77 Murilo F
Bench (9)
57 Matheus Bueno
17 Kevin Villodres
8 G. Aburjania
30 A. Alipourghara
55 Henrique Gomes
12 Brian Araújo
18 M. Arai
78 Danilo Veiga
72 Tomás Araújo

Coach: Carlos Cunha

Portimonense

4-2-3-1
32 K. Nakamura G
18 F. Moufi D
44 Pedrão D
22 Filipe Relvas D
14 M. Seck D
38 Paulo Estrela M
24 M. Diaby M
3 Z. Ouattara M
20 Luquinha M
11 Anderson Oliveira M
99 Yago Cariello F
Bench (9)
17 Ricardo Matos
70 Rui Gomes
8 Ewerton
6 Henrique Jocú
19 Gonçalo Costa
35 B. Róchez
27 Klismahn
28 David Pastor
1 B. Özer

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U
3,39
B ✓
3,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.