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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

St. Gilloise

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

St Truiden

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 55%

85%

25%

Points per game

2,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

77%

33%

Both score Ø 56%

62%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,4

Scored

2,5

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,85 xG 0,70

53% Possession 47%

16 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gilloise 1. · St Truiden 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	11	1	1	+20	+14.2	34
2	Club Brugge	15	9	3	3	+24	+26.5	30
3	Cercle Brugge	12	10	0	2	+15	+14.5	30
4	Anderlecht	12	8	3	1	+13	+9.6	27
5	Antwerp	13	6	6	1	+21	+14.0	24
6	Gent	13	6	5	2	+7	+7.2	23
7	Genk	12	6	4	2	+17	+18.7	22
8	Standard	14	4	5	5	-6	-10.6	17
9	Westerlo	16	4	4	8	-7	-9.0	16
10	RWD Molenbeek	16	4	4	8	-19	-18.4	16
11	Mechelen	13	4	3	6	-3	-4.0	15
12	St Truiden	12	3	5	4	-7	-4.2	14
13	Charleroi	17	3	5	9	-12	-10.8	14
14	Kortrijk	17	3	2	12	-28	-17.8	11
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	2	2	9	-11	-5.5	8
16	Eupen	16	2	2	12	-24	-24.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Antwerp	8	5	3	0	+19	+13.4	18
2	Cercle Brugge	6	6	0	0	+11	+9.5	18
3	Club Brugge	7	5	2	0	+15	+13.0	17
4	Anderlecht	6	5	1	0	+9	+6.8	16
5	St. Gilloise	5	5	0	0	+13	+7.2	15
6	Gent	7	4	3	0	+7	+4.9	15
7	Genk	7	3	3	1	+9	+11.8	12
8	Charleroi	8	3	3	2	+0	+1.2	12
9	Mechelen	6	3	2	1	+4	-0.1	11
10	Standard	8	3	2	3	+0	-3.0	11
11	RWD Molenbeek	8	3	2	3	-5	-7.0	11
12	Westerlo	7	3	0	4	-2	-4.2	9
13	St Truiden	7	2	2	3	-5	-1.6	8
14	Kortrijk	9	2	2	5	-8	-5.0	8
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	2	1	3	+3	-2.4	7
16	Eupen	7	1	1	5	-10	-9.9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	6	1	1	+7	+7.0	19
2	Club Brugge	8	4	1	3	+9	+13.4	13
3	Cercle Brugge	6	4	0	2	+4	+5.0	12
4	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.7	11
5	Genk	5	3	1	1	+8	+6.9	10
6	Gent	6	2	2	2	+0	+2.3	8
7	Westerlo	9	1	4	4	-5	-4.9	7
8	Antwerp	5	1	3	1	+2	+0.7	6
9	St Truiden	5	1	3	1	-2	-2.6	6
10	Standard	6	1	3	2	-6	-7.6	6
11	RWD Molenbeek	8	1	2	5	-14	-11.4	5
12	Mechelen	7	1	1	5	-7	-3.9	4
13	Eupen	9	1	1	7	-14	-14.4	4
14	Kortrijk	8	1	0	7	-20	-12.8	3
15	Charleroi	9	0	2	7	-12	-12.0	2
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	0	1	6	-14	-3.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.