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Pro League

Referee: Bram Van Driessche

Club Brugge

S T U S S

3–2

Full-time

Genk

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,5

This season — Pro League · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 63%

59%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

67%

63%

Both score Ø 54%

48%

59%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

15 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Club Brugge 3. · Genk 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	27	18	6	3	+34	60
2	Antwerp	28	17	3	8	+8	54
3	Club Brugge	27	16	5	6	+28	53
4	Standard	28	15	6	7	+18	51
5	St Truiden	30	12	11	7	+11	47
6	Gent	28	14	3	11	+12	45
7	Anderlecht	28	13	6	9	+6	45
8	Kortrijk	30	12	7	11	+2	43
9	Charleroi	30	12	6	12	+0	42
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	30	11	7	12	+0	40
11	Waregem	30	8	9	13	-11	33
12	Eupen	30	10	2	18	-23	32
13	Cercle Brugge	30	7	7	16	-24	28
14	Beveren	30	5	12	13	-13	27
15	Oostende	30	6	9	15	-23	27
16	Lokeren	30	5	5	20	-25	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	14	10	2	2	+19	32
2	Standard	14	9	3	2	+17	30
3	St Truiden	15	8	5	2	+11	29
4	Club Brugge	13	9	1	3	+20	28
5	Antwerp	14	8	3	3	+7	27
6	Anderlecht	14	7	5	2	+12	26
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	7	4	4	+7	25
8	Charleroi	15	7	3	5	+4	24
9	Gent	14	7	1	6	+7	22
10	Kortrijk	15	6	3	6	-1	21
11	Cercle Brugge	15	6	3	6	-4	21
12	Waregem	15	5	5	5	+2	20
13	Eupen	15	6	0	9	-8	18
14	Lokeren	15	5	3	7	-8	18
15	Beveren	15	3	7	5	-5	16
16	Oostende	15	4	4	7	-9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	13	8	4	1	+15	28
2	Antwerp	14	9	0	5	+1	27
3	Club Brugge	14	7	4	3	+8	25
4	Gent	14	7	2	5	+5	23
5	Kortrijk	15	6	4	5	+3	22
6	Standard	14	6	3	5	+1	21
7	Anderlecht	14	6	1	7	-6	19
8	St Truiden	15	4	6	5	+0	18
9	Charleroi	15	5	3	7	-4	18
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	4	3	8	-7	15
11	Eupen	15	4	2	9	-15	14
12	Waregem	15	3	4	8	-13	13
13	Beveren	15	2	5	8	-8	11
14	Oostende	15	2	5	8	-14	11
15	Cercle Brugge	15	1	4	10	-20	7
16	Lokeren	15	0	2	13	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.