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Pro League

Referee: Bart Vertenten

Mechelen

T T U S U

1–1

Full-time

Charleroi

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,8

This season — Pro League · 27/17 matches

Win Ø 36%

19%

53%

Points per game

0,9

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

37%

41%

Both score Ø 49%

44%

53%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

9 Shots 2

6 Shots on target 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 27

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 15. · Charleroi 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	18	14	3	1	+26	45
2	Kortrijk	27	11	6	10	+3	39
3	Antwerp	28	9	11	8	-3	38
4	St Truiden	27	9	9	9	-9	36
5	Beveren	27	9	8	10	+3	35
6	Anderlecht	17	10	4	3	+10	34
7	Charleroi	17	9	6	2	+14	33
8	Gent	18	9	5	4	+16	32
9	Genk	19	8	8	3	+10	32
10	Waregem	27	9	4	14	-7	31
11	Oostende	27	8	6	13	-1	30
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	27	8	6	13	-12	30
13	Lokeren	27	7	7	13	-14	28
14	Standard	18	7	6	5	+3	27
15	Mechelen	27	5	8	14	-19	23
16	Eupen	27	4	9	14	-20	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	9	9	0	0	+17	27
2	St Truiden	14	8	3	3	+3	27
3	Kortrijk	13	6	5	2	+10	23
4	Beveren	13	6	3	4	+8	21
5	Gent	9	6	1	2	+12	19
6	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	5	4	5	-5	19
7	Standard	9	5	3	1	+3	18
8	Anderlecht	8	5	2	1	+8	17
9	Charleroi	9	4	5	0	+6	17
10	Eupen	13	4	5	4	-2	17
11	Waregem	14	5	2	7	-7	17
12	Antwerp	14	3	7	4	+1	16
13	Genk	10	3	6	1	+6	15
14	Oostende	13	5	0	8	-2	15
15	Mechelen	13	4	3	6	-5	15
16	Lokeren	14	2	4	8	-13	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	14	6	4	4	-4	22
2	Club Brugge	9	5	3	1	+9	18
3	Lokeren	13	5	3	5	-1	18
4	Genk	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Anderlecht	9	5	2	2	+2	17
6	Charleroi	8	5	1	2	+8	16
7	Kortrijk	14	5	1	8	-7	16
8	Oostende	14	3	6	5	+1	15
9	Waregem	13	4	2	7	+0	14
10	Beveren	14	3	5	6	-5	14
11	Gent	9	3	4	2	+4	13
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	3	2	8	-7	11
13	Standard	9	2	3	4	+0	9
14	St Truiden	13	1	6	6	-12	9
15	Mechelen	14	1	5	8	-14	8
16	Eupen	14	0	4	10	-18	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.