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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Club Brugge
U U S S S
4–0
Full-time
Gent
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 67%
78%
56%
Points per game
2,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
44%
67%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
2,7
2,3
Conceded
0,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

11 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 8
5 Corners 5
16 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Club Brugge 1. · Gent 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 9 7 2 0 +20 23
2 Standard 10 7 1 2 +17 22
3 Antwerp 9 6 1 2 +11 19
4 Mechelen 11 5 3 3 +0 18
5 Gent 9 5 2 2 +11 17
6 Genk 10 5 2 3 +7 17
7 Waregem 11 4 5 2 +6 17
8 Mouscron 9 4 4 1 +3 16
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 4 4 1 +3 16
10 Charleroi 10 4 3 3 +4 15
11 St Truiden 12 3 4 5 -8 13
12 Kortrijk 11 3 2 6 -1 11
13 Anderlecht 12 2 5 5 -4 11
14 Oostende 11 3 2 6 -9 11
15 Waasland-Beveren 10 1 4 5 -12 7
16 Beveren 10 1 4 5 -12 7
17 Eupen 12 1 4 7 -18 7
18 Cercle Brugge 11 2 0 9 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Gent
1–0 H. Vanaken
K. Diatta
11′
2–0 K. Diatta
P. Tau
28′
33′
🟨 Roman Yaremchuk
35′
🟨 Jonathan David
S. Schrijvers 🔁
↦ P. Tau
41′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 E. Dennis
51′
53′
🔁 L. Depoitre
↦ B. Dejaegere
Clinton Mata 🟨
63′
D. Okereke 🔁
↦ E. Dennis
69′
71′
🔁 Y. Kubo
↦ S. Kums
M. Diagne 🔁
↦ R. Vormer
79′
David Okereke 🟨
80′
86′
🔁 J. Dompé
↦ R. Yaremchuk
Siebe Schrijvers 🟨
88′
Mbaye Diagne 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Nana Asare
4–0 M. Diagne
H. Vanaken
92′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Club Brugge

4-1-2-3
88 S. Mignolet G
2 E. Sobol D
77 Clinton Mata D
17 S. Deli D
44 B. Mechele D
25 R. Vormer M
26 M. Rits M
20 H. Vanaken M
35 P. Tau F
42 E. Dennis F
11 K. Diatta F
Bench (7)
16 S. Schrijvers
14 D. Okereke
10 M. Diagne
22 E. Horvath
90 C. De Ketelaere
80 L. Openda
5 K. Odilon

Coach: P. Clement

Gent

5-3-2
1 T. Kaminski G
21 N. Asare D
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
28 D. Bronn D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
19 B. Dejaegere M
6 E. Owusu M
7 R. Yaremchuk F
16 J. David F
Bench (7)
29 L. Depoitre
31 Y. Kubo
11 J. Dompé
33 L. Verstraete
26 C. Coosemans
15 M. Mohammadi
23 M. Lustig

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
4,23
B
4,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,51
U2,5
2,49
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.