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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra

Eibar

S S U T T

2–1

Full-time

Villarreal

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

20%

50%

Points per game

0,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

50%

80%

Both score Ø 60%

50%

70%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,0

2,4

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

25 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eibar 17. · Villarreal 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	7	1	2	+17	22
2	Real Madrid	10	6	3	1	+12	21
3	Granada	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	Ath Madrid	11	5	5	1	+5	20
5	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+2	20
6	Sociedad	11	6	1	4	+6	19
7	Villarreal	10	5	2	3	+10	17
8	Ath Bilbao	11	4	4	3	+4	16
9	Osasuna	10	3	5	2	+1	14
10	Levante	11	4	2	5	-1	14
11	Valencia	11	3	5	3	-2	14
12	Valladolid	11	3	5	3	-3	14
13	Getafe	10	3	4	3	+0	13
14	Alaves	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Betis	11	3	3	5	-7	12
16	Mallorca	10	3	1	6	-6	10
17	Eibar	10	2	3	5	-5	9
18	Celta	11	2	3	6	-8	9
19	Espanol	11	2	2	7	-13	8
20	Leganes	11	1	2	8	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Ath Bilbao	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+4	12
5	Granada	5	4	0	1	+4	12
6	Villarreal	5	3	2	0	+9	11
7	Alaves	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Betis	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Valencia	6	2	4	0	+3	10
10	Sevilla	5	3	1	1	+3	10
11	Mallorca	6	3	1	2	+1	10
12	Sociedad	5	3	0	2	+5	9
13	Osasuna	5	2	3	0	+3	9
14	Getafe	5	2	2	1	+2	8
15	Levante	5	2	2	1	+2	8
16	Celta	6	2	1	3	-3	7
17	Valladolid	4	1	3	0	+2	6
18	Eibar	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Leganes	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Espanol	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	10
2	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	-1	10
3	Granada	5	2	2	1	+3	8
4	Real Madrid	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Ath Madrid	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Espanol	6	2	2	2	-3	8
7	Valladolid	7	2	2	3	-5	8
8	Barcelona	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Villarreal	5	2	0	3	+1	6
10	Levante	6	2	0	4	-3	6
11	Getafe	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Valencia	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Ath Bilbao	5	0	3	2	-3	3
15	Eibar	6	0	3	3	-4	3
16	Celta	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Alaves	5	0	1	4	-9	1
18	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-9	1
19	Betis	5	0	1	4	-10	1
20	Mallorca	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.