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Primeira Liga
Referee: João Carlos Bento
2–0
Full-time
Famalicao
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Famalicao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 31%
33%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
33%
71%
Both score Ø 77%
67%
86%
Average goals
2,5
3,6
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
22 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 10. · Famalicao 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 7 6 1 0 +15 19
2 Benfica 7 5 0 2 +8 15
3 Sp Braga 7 5 0 2 +5 15
4 Porto 7 4 1 2 +8 13
5 Nacional 7 2 4 1 +1 10
6 Santa Clara 7 3 1 3 +0 10
7 Rio Ave 7 2 4 1 +0 10
8 Guimaraes 7 3 1 3 -3 10
9 Famalicao 7 2 3 2 -3 9
10 Pacos Ferreira 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Moreirense 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Tondela 7 2 2 3 -6 8
13 Belenenses 7 1 4 2 -2 7
14 Maritimo 7 2 1 4 -3 7
15 Boavista 7 1 3 3 -5 6
16 Farense 7 1 2 4 -3 5
17 Gil Vicente 7 1 2 4 -4 5
18 Portimonense 7 1 1 5 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pacos Ferreira Famalicao
16′
🟨 Srdjan Babić
1–0 L. Singh
Bruno Costa
20′
Bruno Costa 🟨
22′
Douglas Tanque 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Bruno Jordão
↦ Iván Jaime
46′
🔁 Dyego Sousa
↦ J. Pereyra
João Amaral 🔁
↦ L. Singh
65′
66′
🔁 C. Verdonk
↦ Jhonata Robert
Hélder Ferreira 🟨
70′
70′
🟨 Calvin Verdonk
Zé Uilton 🔁
↦ Bruno Costa
73′
M. Diaby 🔁
↦ Hélder Ferreira
73′
Oleg Reabciuk 🟨
80′
83′
🟨 Bruno Jordão
85′
🔁 Guga
↦ Gil Dias
D. Jan 🔁
↦ Douglas Tanque
87′
2–0 Zé Uilton
S. Eustáquio
88′
90′
🟨 Gustavo Assunção
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Pacos Ferreira

4-3-3
1 Jordi G
2 Marco Baixinho D
44 Marcelo D
29 Fernando Fonseca D
5 O. Reabciuk D
22 Luíz Carlos M
10 Bruno Costa M
46 S. Eustáquio M
99 Douglas Tanque F
7 Hélder Ferreira F
11 L. Singh F
Bench (9)
77 João Amaral
9 Zé Uilton
24 M. Diaby
18 D. Jan
8 A. Ibrahim
17 Adriano Castanheira
45 João Pedro
26 Maracás
31 Michael

Coach: Pepa

Famalicao

4-4-2
31 Luiz Júnior G
3 S. Babić D
15 Riccieli D
24 E. Herrera D
28 Gil Dias D
18 J. Pereyra M
17 Iván Jaime F
12 Gustavo Assunção M
29 M. Trotta F
22 C. Valenzuela M
11 Jhonata Robert M
Bench (9)
66 Bruno Jordão
99 Dyego Sousa
5 C. Verdonk
6 Guga
4 Henrique Trevisan
97 Patrick William
21 João Neto
2 Dani Morer
1 I. Zlobin

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
3,23
B
3,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

João Carlos Bento · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.