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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Charleroi
U T T S U
0–1
Full-time
Gent
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,2
4,7
Scored
1,7
2,8
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 48%
58%
38%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
69%
Both score Ø 68%
58%
77%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

5 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 4
10 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 2. · Gent 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Beerschot VA 14 9 1 4 +5 28
2 Charleroi 12 7 3 2 +11 24
3 Club Brugge 12 7 2 3 +17 23
4 Antwerp 13 6 5 2 +7 23
5 Genk 12 6 5 1 +7 23
6 Standard 13 6 5 2 +5 23
7 Anderlecht 13 5 7 1 +9 22
8 Cercle Brugge 13 7 0 6 +3 21
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 6 3 3 +2 21
10 Kortrijk 15 5 4 6 -1 19
11 Eupen 14 3 8 3 -4 17
12 Waregem 15 5 2 8 -8 17
13 Oostende 11 4 4 3 +7 16
14 Gent 13 5 1 7 +3 16
15 Mechelen 11 4 3 4 -2 15
16 St Truiden 11 2 3 6 -9 9
17 Waasland-Beveren 11 1 2 8 -15 5
18 Beveren 11 1 2 8 -15 5
19 Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Gent
35′
🟨 Michael Ngadeu
Kaveh Rezaei 🟨
37′
45′
O. Bukari 0–1
Half-time 0–1
61′
🟨 Núrio Fortuna
73′
🔁 E. Owusu
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
Lucas Ribeiro Costa 🔁
↦ S. Berahino
83′
83′
🔁 M. Samoise
↦ R. Bezus
K. Nkuba 🔁
↦ J. Van Cleemput
89′
94′
🔁 B. Godeau
↦ O. Bukari
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 N. Penneteau G
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
12 J. Kayembe F
4 J. Van Cleemput D
44 R. Morioka M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
7 M. Fall F
8 A. Gholizadeh F
10 K. Rezaei F
38 S. Berahino F
Bench (7)
19 Lucas Ribeiro Costa
28 K. Nkuba
14 J. Imbrechts
5 M. Diagne
30 G. Gillet
22 G. Hendrickx
6 G. Zajkov

Coach: K. Belhocine

Gent

5-3-2
1 S. Bolat G
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
25 Núrio Fortuna D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
15 M. Mohammadi D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
9 R. Bezus M
17 J. Botaka F
30 N. Dorsch M
20 O. Bukari F
Bench (7)
6 E. Owusu
19 M. Samoise
31 B. Godeau
33 D. Roef
18 D. Mbayo
11 A. Niangbo
36 D. Arslanagić

Coach: W. De Decker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,04
U
3,46
B ✓
3,50
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.