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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 16/19 matches
Win Ø 36%
19%
53%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
38%
74%
Both score Ø 62%
44%
79%
Average goals
2,4
3,4
Scored
0,8
1,9
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

6 Corners 4
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 19. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 10 5 4 +9 35
2 Genk 15 9 5 1 +17 32
3 Beerschot VA 18 10 1 7 +1 31
4 Club Brugge 15 8 4 3 +18 28
5 Charleroi 18 8 4 6 +5 28
6 Antwerp 14 7 5 2 +8 26
7 Anderlecht 15 5 9 1 +9 24
8 Standard 14 6 6 2 +5 24
9 Eupen 17 5 9 3 -1 24
10 Kortrijk 18 6 5 7 -2 23
11 Waregem 17 6 3 8 -5 21
12 Cercle Brugge 18 7 0 11 -5 21
13 Oostende 15 5 4 6 +2 19
14 Gent 15 6 1 8 +1 19
15 Waasland-Beveren 16 5 3 8 -8 18
16 Beveren 16 5 3 8 -8 18
17 Mechelen 15 4 4 7 -5 16
18 Mouscron 17 3 5 9 -14 14
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 16 3 4 9 -14 13
20 St Truiden 18 2 6 10 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Alessandro Ciranni 🟨
29′
30′
🟨 Kamal Sowah
Imad Faraj 🟨
31′
Saad Agouzoul 🟨
31′
42′
T. Vlietinck 0–1
C. De Norre
D. Hočko 🔁
↦ M. Bakić
44′
Half-time 0–1
Hervé Koffi 🟨
54′
55′
D. Hubert 0–2
S. Tabekou 🔁
↦ D. Mohamed
56′
Fabrice Olinga 🟨
59′
B. Badibanga 🔁
↦ F. Olinga
70′
1–2 Nuno da Costa
S. Tabekou
71′
74′
🟨 Daan Vekemans
2–2 Nuno da Costa
77′
82′
🔁 O. Myny
↦ T. Vlietinck
Serge Tabekou 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 J. Eppiah
↦ Musa Al-Taamari
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-2-3-1
16 H. Koffi G
26 M. Silvestre D
13 A. Ciranni D
5 S. Agouzoul D
10 M. Bakić M
11 D. Mohamed M
7 F. Olinga F
23 Bruno Xadas M
8 J. Onana M
20 Nuno da Costa F
14 I. Faraj F
Bench (7)
6 D. Hočko
70 S. Tabekou
29 B. Badibanga
30 B. Van Durmen
21 N. Gillekens
18 R. Quirynen
25 C. Brym

Coach: Jorge Simão

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-4-2
90 R. Romo G
23 S. Kotysch D
5 P. Ngawa D
24 C. De Norre D
2 V. Jemelka D
6 D. Hubert M
10 X. Mercier M
11 T. Vlietinck M
14 K. Sowah M
13 Musa Al-Taamari M
32 D. Vekemans F
Bench (7)
22 O. Myny
26 J. Eppiah
15 D. Ouédraogo
21 D. Iversen
28 T. Raemaekers
39 A. Allemeersch
18 B. Bese

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.