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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
1–0
Full-time
Anderlecht
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 22/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
45%
39%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
77%
56%
Both score Ø 80%
82%
78%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 9
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2. · Anderlecht 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 20 11 7 2 +21 40
2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 22 10 6 6 +7 36
3 Waregem 23 11 3 9 -2 36
4 Antwerp 19 10 5 4 +11 35
5 Club Brugge 18 10 4 4 +23 34
6 Charleroi 22 10 4 8 +5 34
7 Kortrijk 22 9 5 8 -1 32
8 Beerschot VA 21 10 2 9 -2 32
9 Anderlecht 18 7 9 2 +11 30
10 Gent 20 9 2 9 +7 29
11 Mechelen 20 8 4 8 -2 28
12 Eupen 21 6 9 6 -7 27
13 Oostende 18 7 4 7 +3 25
14 Standard 18 6 6 6 +1 24
15 Cercle Brugge 21 7 0 14 -8 21
16 St Truiden 21 5 6 10 -9 21
17 Waasland-Beveren 19 5 4 10 -14 19
18 Beveren 19 5 4 10 -14 19
19 Mouscron 20 4 5 11 -15 17
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 20 4 5 11 -15 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Anderlecht
45′
🟨 Anouar Ait El Hadj
Half-time 0–0
Václav Jemelka 🟨
51′
63′
🔁 A. Colassin
↦ A. Lokonga
J. Eppiah 🔁
↦ K. Malinov
77′
77′
🔁 M. Murillo
↦ K. Lawrence
77′
🔁 M. Dauda
↦ P. Mukairu
84′
🔁 M. Kana
↦ A. El Hadj
1–0 T. Henry
87′
90′
🟨 Lukas Nmecha
90′
🟨 Antoine Colassin
S. Kotysch 🔁
↦ M. Maertens
90′
D. Vekemans 🔁
↦ X. Mercier
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-3-2-1
90 R. Romo G
5 P. Ngawa D
24 C. De Norre D
2 V. Jemelka D
6 D. Hubert M
29 K. Malinov M
10 X. Mercier M
11 T. Vlietinck M
33 M. Maertens M
14 K. Sowah M
9 T. Henry F
Bench (7)
26 J. Eppiah
23 S. Kotysch
32 D. Vekemans
38 O. Ravet
13 Musa Al-Taamari
15 D. Ouédraogo
22 O. Myny

Coach: M. Brys

Anderlecht

4-3-3
1 T. Wellenreuther G
92 K. Lawrence D
20 M. Miazga D
42 H. Delcroix D
54 K. Sardella D
8 J. Cullen M
40 F. Amuzu F
48 A. Lokonga M
46 A. El Hadj M
7 L. Nmecha F
12 P. Mukairu F
Bench (7)
53 A. Colassin
62 M. Murillo
38 M. Dauda
55 M. Kana
16 B. Verbruggen
19 M. Bundu
9 L. Dimata

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,57
U
3,74
B
1,94
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.